Our Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction: 2-2
Toluca vs Monterrey in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 11, 2025. A 2-2 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Monterrey vs Toluca
Toluca will be looking to bounce back after a 2-3 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Monterrey on May 8. In that match, Toluca controlled 46% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Monterrey | 54% | 7 (8) | 1.39 | 36 |
Toluca | 46% | 3 (2) | 0.24 | 25 |
Monterrey's Last Match – Monterrey vs Toluca
Monterrey will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-2 Mexico Liga MX triumph against Toluca on May 8. In that match, Monterrey recorded 54% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Monterrey | 54% | 7 (8) | 1.39 | 36 |
Toluca | 46% | 3 (2) | 0.24 | 25 |
Toluca vs Monterrey Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | Attacking Strength | 1.44 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.6 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Monterrey average 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Toluca 26-15
Monterrey 19-12
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.75
Draw: @3.75
Monterrey to win: @4.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
Lineups
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Luis Garcia, Diego Zaragoza, Luan, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Hector Herrera, Marcel Ruiz, Helinho, Ricardo Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho
Monterrey (5-3-2) : Esteban Andrada, Ricardo Chavez, Stefan Medina, Victor Andres Guzman, Gerardo Arteaga, Jorge Rodriguez, Fidel Daniel Ambriz Gonzalez, Nelson Deossa, Sergio Canales, Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa, German Berterame