Monterrey vs Toluca Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction: 2-2

Monterrey vs. Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday May 8, 2025. A 2-2 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.

This Monterrey vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams’ recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you’ll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Monterrey's Last Match – Monterrey vs Unam Pumas

Monterrey will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX victory over Unam Pumas, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Monterrey recorded 63% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 3 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Monterrey	63%	7 (3)	1.53	41
Unam Pumas	37%	2 (1)	0.68	18

Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Cruz Azul

Toluca will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 Mexico Liga MX share of the spoils with Cruz Azul on April 20. In that match, Toluca recorded 59% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Toluca	59%	10 (6)	0.82	38
Cruz Azul	41%	10 (6)	0.87	20

Monterrey vs Toluca Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Monterrey are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Monterrey to win: @2.375

Draw: @3.4

Toluca to win: @3

Monterrey Fixtures

Toluca Fixtures