Our Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction: 2-2
Toluca vs Monterrey in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 02:05 GMT kick-off on Thursday September 25, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 2-2 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca
Toluca will look to carry forward their winning form after a 6-2 Mexico Liga MX success over Monterrey on September 25. In that match, Toluca had 47% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 13 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chivas Guadalajara | 53% | 11 (4) | 0.73 | 0 |
 Toluca | 47% | 17 (11) | 2.45 | 0 |
Monterrey's Last Match – Monterrey vs Club America
After suffering a 2-6 Mexico Liga MX loss to Toluca, Monterrey must win to get back on track. In that match, Monterrey recorded 53% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monterrey | 49% | 8 (5) | 1.7 | 28 |
 Club America | 51% | 11 (7) | 1.33 | 77 |
Toluca vs Monterrey Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.01 | Defence Strength | 0.76 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Monterrey average 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Toluca 18-8
Monterrey 22-14
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.4
Monterrey to win: @3.9
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9
Lineups
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Santiago Simon, Antonio Briseno, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Ricardo Angulo, Nicolas Federico Castro, Alexis Vega, Paulinho
Monterrey (3-4-2-1) : Santiago Mele, Fidel Ambriz, Sergio Ramos, Stefan Medina, Erick Aguirre, Jorge Rodriguez, Oliver Torres, Luis Reyes, Sergio Canales, Jesus Corona, German Berterame
Toluca 
Club America 
Cruz Azul 
Monterrey 
Tigres UANL 
Pachuca 
Tijuana 
Juarez FC 
Chivas Guadalajara 
Unam Pumas 
Atlas 
Leon 
Mazatlan FC 
Queretaro 
Atletico San Luis 
Santos Laguna 
Necaxa 
Puebla