Our Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs Tigres UANL in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday July 27, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Club America vs Toluca
Toluca will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-1 Mexico Champion of Champions triumph against Club America on July 21. In that match, Toluca recorded 50% possession, attempting 1 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Club America | 50% | 2 (2) | 0.87 | 10 |
 Toluca | 50% | 1 (3) | 0.87 | 7 |
Tigres UANL's Last Match – Tigres UANL vs Juarez FC
Tigres UANL will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 Mexico Liga MX win against Juarez FC on July 20. In that match, Tigres UANL had 64% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tigres UANL | 64% | 13 (9) | 1.09 | 41 |
 Juarez FC | 36% | 3 (1) | 0.23 | 56 |
Toluca vs Tigres UANL Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | Attacking Strength | 0.52 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Tigres UANL average 0.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Toluca 22-11
Tigres UANL 9-10
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.833
Draw: @3.4
Tigres UANL to win: @4.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Toluca (3-1-4-2) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Sebastian Aceves, Mauricio Isais, Federico Pereira, Franco Romero, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Hector Herrera, Paulinho, Helinho, Juan Dominguez, Nicolas Federico Castro
Tigres UANL (4-4-2) : Nahuel Guzman, Javier Aquino, Jesus Garza, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Romulo, Juanjo Purata, Diego Lainez, Fernando Gorriaran, Angel Correa, Nicolas Ibanez, Jonathan Herrera