Our Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction: 1-1
Tigres UANL vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 18, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Tigres UANL's Last Match – Tigres UANL vs Unam Pumas
Tigres UANL must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Unam Pumas on January 15.
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Toluca will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Mexico Liga MX win against Santos Laguna on January 15. In that match, Toluca saw 74% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 74% | 13 (9) | 2.26 | 0 |
 Santos Laguna | 26% | 1 (2) | 0.19 | 0 |
Tigres UANL vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Tigres UANL | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Attacking Strength | 1.06 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 0.42 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tigres UANL are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Tigres UANL 15-11
Toluca 13-7
What are the odds for this match?
Tigres UANL to win: @2.25
Draw: @3.1
Toluca to win: @3.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
Tigres UANL (3-4-3) : Nahuel Guzman, Jesus Garza, Joaquim, Juanjo Purata, Osvaldo Rodriguez, Fernando Gorriaran, Romulo, Diego Lainez, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Angel Correa, Nicolas Ibanez
Toluca (4-5-1) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Diego Zaragoza, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Santiago Simon, Ricardo Angulo, Pavel Perez, Paulinho