Our Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs Tigres UANL in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday July 27, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Club America vs Toluca
Toluca will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-1 Mexico Champion of Champions triumph against Club America on July 21. In that match, Toluca recorded 50% possession, attempting 1 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Club America | 50% | 2 (2) | 0.87 | 10 |
 Toluca | 50% | 1 (3) | 0.87 | 7 |
Tigres UANL's Last Match – Tigres UANL vs Juarez FC
Tigres UANL will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 Mexico Liga MX win against Juarez FC on July 20. In that match, Tigres UANL had 64% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tigres UANL | 64% | 13 (9) | 1.09 | 41 |
 Juarez FC | 36% | 3 (1) | 0.23 | 56 |
Toluca vs Tigres UANL Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | Attacking Strength | 0.52 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Tigres UANL average 0.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Toluca 22-11
Tigres UANL 9-10
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.833
Draw: @3.4
Tigres UANL to win: @4.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Toluca (3-1-4-2) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Sebastian Aceves, Mauricio Isais, Federico Pereira, Franco Romero, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Hector Herrera, Paulinho, Helinho, Juan Dominguez, Nicolas Federico Castro
Tigres UANL (4-4-2) : Nahuel Guzman, Javier Aquino, Jesus Garza, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Romulo, Juanjo Purata, Diego Lainez, Fernando Gorriaran, Angel Correa, Nicolas Ibanez, Jonathan Herrera
Toluca 
Club America 
Cruz Azul 
Monterrey 
Tigres UANL 
Pachuca 
Tijuana 
Juarez FC 
Chivas Guadalajara 
Unam Pumas 
Atlas 
Leon 
Mazatlan FC 
Queretaro 
Atletico San Luis 
Santos Laguna 
Necaxa 
Puebla