Our Santos Laguna vs Toluca Prediction: 1-3
Santos Laguna vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 04:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday July 17, 2025. We anticipate a 1-3 win for the visitors, but with both teams frequently finding the net, a bet on over 2.5 goals is also worth considering.
This Santos Laguna vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Santos Laguna's Last Match – Santos Laguna vs Unam Pumas
Santos Laguna will want to continue their winning form after a 3-0 Mexico Liga MX victory over Unam Pumas, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Santos Laguna had 45% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Santos Laguna | 45% | 6 (7) | 0.85 | 30 |
 Unam Pumas | 55% | 7 (5) | 0.51 | 43 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Necaxa
Toluca will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-1 Mexico Liga MX success over Necaxa on July 13. In that match, Toluca recorded 56% possession, firing 15 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 56% | 15 (7) | 2.92 | 38 |
 Necaxa | 44% | 9 (5) | 1.44 | 46 |
Santos Laguna vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Santos Laguna | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Attacking Strength | 1.55 |
| 1.64 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.3 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Santos Laguna are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Santos Laguna 10-22
Toluca 19-10
What are the odds for this match?
Santos Laguna to win: @4.333
Draw: @3.8
Toluca to win: @1.666