Our Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prediction: 3-1
Toluca vs Santos Laguna in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:10 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 15, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Monterrey vs Toluca
Toluca will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Mexico Liga MX victory over Monterrey on January 11. In that match, Toluca had 35% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monterrey | 65% | 12 (5) | 1.51 | 41 |
 Toluca | 35% | 5 (2) | 1.02 | 40 |
Santos Laguna's Last Match – Santos Laguna vs Necaxa
Santos Laguna will look to get back on track following a 1-3 Mexico Liga MX loss against Necaxa on January 11. In that match, Santos Laguna recorded 55% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Santos Laguna | 55% | 8 (4) | 0.63 | 53 |
 Necaxa | 45% | 9 (6) | 1.77 | 25 |
Toluca vs Santos Laguna Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.3 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Santos Laguna average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Toluca 12-8
Santos Laguna 12-18
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.2
Draw: @7
Santos Laguna to win: @11
Lineups
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Luis Garcia, Francisco Pumpido, Antonio Briseno, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Helinho, Ricardo Angulo, Nicolas Federico Castro, Paulinho
Santos Laguna (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Acevedo, Kevin Picon, Haret Ortega, Javier Guemez, Bruno Amione, Ramiro Sordo, Efrain Orona, Ezequiel Bullaude, Fran Villalba, Carlos Gruezo, Lucas Di Yorio
Cruz Azul 
Toluca 
Chivas Guadalajara 
Pachuca 
Unam Pumas 
Tigres UANL 
Atlas 
Club America 
Monterrey 
Puebla 
Atletico San Luis 
Juarez FC 
Leon 
Mazatlan FC 
Tijuana 
Necaxa 
Queretaro 
Santos Laguna