Our Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction: 2-2
Moreirense vs Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 21, 2026. A 2-2 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Moreirense vs Arouca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Moreirense's Last Match – FC Porto vs Moreirense
Moreirense will hope to recover from their recent 0-3 Portugal Primeira Liga setback against FC Porto on March 15. In that match, Moreirense controlled 42% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Porto | 58% | 14 (7) | 2.13 | 48 |
Moreirense | 42% | 4 (2) | 0.14 | 27 |
Arouca's Last Match – Arouca vs Benfica
Arouca must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Benfica on March 14 and regain momentum. In that match, Arouca recorded 39% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arouca | 39% | 7 (5) | 2.64 | 16 |
Benfica | 61% | 16 (5) | 2.09 | 74 |
Moreirense vs Arouca Stats
Key Stats
| Moreirense | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | Attacking Strength | 0.97 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 1.5 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Moreirense are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Arouca average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Moreirense 8-14
Arouca 16-16
What are the odds for this match?
Moreirense to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.2
Arouca to win: @3



FC Porto
Moreirense
Arouca
Benfica
FC Porto
Sporting
Benfica
Braga
Famalicao
Gil Vicente
Estoril
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Arouca
Alverca
Estrela
Santa Clara
Nacional
Casa Pia
Tondela
AVS