Our Benfica vs Arouca Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 25, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Benfica vs Arouca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Newcastle vs Benfica
Benfica will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 UEFA Champions League defeat against Newcastle on October 21. In that match, Benfica recorded 48% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle | 52% | 15 (10) | 2.91 | 52 |
Benfica | 48% | 5 (2) | 0.36 | 30 |
Arouca's Last Match – Portimonense vs Arouca
Arouca will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Portugal Cup win against Portimonense on October 18. In that match, Arouca controlled 49% of possession and managed 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Portimonense | 51% | 0 (3) | - | 69 |
Arouca | 49% | 0 (5) | - | 61 |
Benfica vs Arouca Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
| 0.66 | Defence Strength | 1.29 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Arouca average 1.6 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.



Newcastle
Benfica
Portimonense
Arouca
FC Porto
Sporting
Benfica
Gil Vicente
Famalicao
Moreirense
Braga
Guimaraes
Estoril
Nacional
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Estrela
Alverca
Casa Pia
Arouca
Tondela