Our Benfica vs Arouca Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 25, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Benfica vs Arouca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – FC Porto vs Benfica
Benfica will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga draw with FC Porto on October 5. In that match, Benfica recorded 49% possession, attempting 2 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 51% | 6 (2) | 0.65 | 49 |
![]() | 49% | 2 (1) | 0.13 | 22 |
Arouca's Last Match – Arouca vs Famalicao
Arouca will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Portugal Primeira Liga share of the spoils with Famalicao on October 5. In that match, Arouca controlled 46% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 46% | 5 (3) | 0.66 | 24 |
![]() | 54% | 7 (5) | 2.26 | 55 |
Benfica vs Arouca Stats
Key Stats
Benfica | Arouca | |
---|---|---|
1.8 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
0.66 | Defence Strength | 1.29 |
1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
4/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
1.5 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Arouca average 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.