Our Moreirense vs Casa Pia Prediction: 2-1
Moreirense vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Moreirense vs Casa Pia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Moreirense's Last Match – Sporting vs Moreirense
Moreirense will hope to recover from their recent 0-3 Portugal Primeira Liga setback against Sporting on September 22. In that match, Moreirense recorded 39% possession, attempting 1 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 61% | 17 (12) | 4.65 | 79 |
 Moreirense | 39% | 1 (1) | 0.16 | 20 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – Casa Pia vs Famalicao
Determined to get back to winning ways, Casa Pia must win after their 1-1 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Famalicao on September 21. In that match, Casa Pia controlled 53% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casa Pia | 53% | 7 (3) | 1.09 | 37 |
 Famalicao | 47% | 5 (2) | 2.27 | 44 |
Moreirense vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Moreirense | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Attacking Strength | 0.76 |
| 1.01 | Defence Strength | 0.99 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Moreirense are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 0.9 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Moreirense 14-9
Casa Pia 9-15
What are the odds for this match?
Moreirense to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.3
Casa Pia to win: @3.6
Lineups
Moreirense (4-2-3-1) : Caio Secco, Dinis Pinto, Marcelo, Maracas, Kiko, Vasco Sousa, Mateja Stjepanovic, Diogo Travassos, Alan, Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso, Guilherme Schettine
Casa Pia (3-4-3) : Patrick Sequeira, Andre Geraldes, Kaique Rocha, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Sebastian Perez, Renato Nhaga, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Dailon Rocha Livramento, Tiago Morais
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Moreirense 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Estoril 
Nacional 
Rio Ave 
Santa Clara 
Estrela 
Alverca 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela