Our Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction: 2-1
Moreirense vs Tondela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Moreirense vs Tondela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Moreirense's Last Match – AVS vs Moreirense
Moreirense will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over AVS, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Moreirense recorded 60% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AVS | 40% | 8 (4) | 0.36 | 35 |
 Moreirense | 60% | 10 (4) | 1.91 | 33 |
Tondela's Last Match – Tondela vs Arouca
Tondela will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-1 Portugal Primeira Liga triumph against Arouca on January 3. In that match, Tondela controlled 29% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 29% | 4 (4) | 0.67 | 23 |
 Arouca | 71% | 6 (5) | 0.73 | 60 |
Moreirense vs Tondela Stats
Key Stats
| Moreirense | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | Attacking Strength | 0.57 |
| 1.31 | Defence Strength | 1.43 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Moreirense are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Tondela average 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Moreirense 13-17
Tondela 8-17
What are the odds for this match?
Moreirense to win: @2
Draw: @3.2
Tondela to win: @4
Lineups
Moreirense (4-3-3) : Caio Secco, Diogo Travassos, Maracas, Michel, Álvaro Martinez, Rodrigo Alonso Martin, Afonso Assis, Alan, Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi, Luis Semedo, Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso
Tondela (4-2-3-1) : Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes, Bebeto, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Emmanuel Maviram, Cicero, Juan Rodriguez, Hugo Felix, Joe Hodge, Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos, Jordan Siebatcheu
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Moreirense 
Guimaraes 
Arouca 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Casa Pia 
Nacional 
Rio Ave 
Tondela 
Santa Clara