Our El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Prediction: 2-1
El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A is scheduled for an 21:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
El Nacional's Last Match – Emelec vs El Nacional
El Nacional will be looking to bounce back after a 0-4 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A defeat against Emelec on September 21. In that match, El Nacional saw 55% of the ball and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Emelec | 45% | 0 (6) | 2.64 | 42 |
 El Nacional | 55% | 0 (5) | 0.52 | 22 |
Mushuc Runa's Last Match – Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle
Determined to get back to winning ways, Mushuc Runa must win after their 2-2 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A draw against Independiente del Valle on September 20. In that match, Mushuc Runa controlled 46% of possession and managed 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mushuc Runa | 46% | 0 (5) | 0.46 | 33 |
 Independiente del Valle | 54% | 0 (7) | 0.7 | 25 |
El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Stats
Key Stats
| El Nacional | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Attacking Strength | 0.6 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 1.28 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
El Nacional are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mushuc Runa average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
El Nacional 10-13
Mushuc Runa 12-16
What are the odds for this match?
El Nacional to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.25
Mushuc Runa to win: @2.9
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Tecnico Universitario 
Manta FC 
Mushuc Runa 
Vinotinto Ecuador