Our Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction: 1-1
Napoli vs Fiorentina in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 9, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Inter Milan
Napoli should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Italy Serie A draw against Inter Milan on March 1. In that match, Napoli saw 62% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Napoli | 62% | 7 (4) | 1.86 | 68 |
Inter Milan | 38% | 3 (1) | 0.31 | 18 |
Fiorentina's Last Match – Panathinaikos vs Fiorentina
Fiorentina will look to get back on track following a 2-3 UEFA Conference League loss against Panathinaikos on March 6. In that match, Fiorentina recorded 49% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Panathinaikos | 51% | 7 (4) | 1.12 | 49 |
Fiorentina | 49% | 8 (5) | 1.42 | 39 |
Napoli vs Fiorentina Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.64 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Fiorentina average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Napoli 17-10
Fiorentina 15-11
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.55
Draw: @4
Fiorentina to win: @6.25
Lineups
Napoli (3-5-2) : Alex Meret, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Matteo Politano, Billy Gilmour, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott Mctominay, Leonardo Spinazzola, Romelu Lukaku, Giacomo Raspadori
Fiorentina (3-5-2) : David De Gea, Pietro Comuzzo, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Nicolo Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Cher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean