Our Napoli vs Genoa Prediction: 2-1
Napoli vs Genoa in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Napoli vs Genoa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Sporting
Napoli will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 UEFA Champions League success over Sporting on October 1. In that match, Napoli recorded 51% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 51% | 7 (3) | 0.8 | 46 |
![]() | 49% | 5 (4) | 1.1 | 43 |
Genoa's Last Match – Genoa vs Lazio
Genoa must win to recover from their recent 0-3 Italy Serie A defeat against Lazio on September 29 and regain momentum. In that match, Genoa recorded 65% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 65% | 11 (4) | 1.67 | 36 |
![]() | 35% | 8 (6) | 1.06 | 49 |
Napoli vs Genoa Stats
Key Stats
Napoli | Genoa | |
---|---|---|
1.49 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
8/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
2.1 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Genoa average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Napoli 21-11
Genoa 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.48
Draw: @4
Genoa to win: @8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Napoli (4-1-4-1) : Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Sam Beukema, Juan Jesus, Mathias Olivera, Stanislav Lobotka, Matteo Politano, Frank Anguissa, Scott Mctominay, David Neres, Rasmus Hojlund
Genoa (4-2-3-1) : Nicola Leali, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Alessandro Marcandalli, Johan Vasquez, Stefano Sabelli, Patrizio Masini, Morten Frendrup, Mikael Ellertsson, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Vítor Carvalho, Jeff Ekhator