Our Napoli vs Genoa Prediction: 1-0
Napoli vs Genoa in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 11, 2025. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Napoli seems the most probable outcome against Genoa.
This Napoli vs Genoa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Lecce vs Napoli
Napoli will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Italy Serie A victory over Lecce on May 3. In that match, Napoli recorded 56% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lecce | 44% | 7 (1) | 0.3 | 41 |
 Napoli | 56% | 5 (2) | 0.58 | 35 |
Genoa's Last Match – Genoa vs AC Milan
Genoa must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Italy Serie A defeat against AC Milan on May 5. In that match, Genoa had 40% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Genoa | 40% | 10 (4) | 0.57 | 40 |
 AC Milan | 60% | 7 (5) | 1.09 | 36 |
Napoli vs Genoa Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Attacking Strength | 0.5 |
| 0.5 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Genoa average 0.6 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Napoli 14-6
Genoa 6-10
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.3
Draw: @5.25
Genoa to win: @11
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.01
Lineups
Napoli (4-4-2) : Alex Meret, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Mathias Olivera, Leonardo Spinazzola, Matteo Politano, Frank Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott Mctominay, Romelu Lukaku, Giacomo Raspadori
Genoa (4-2-3-1) : Benjamin Siegrist, Stefano Sabelli, Sebastian Otoa, Johan Vasquez, Honest Ahanor, Patrizio Masini, Morten Frendrup, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Junior Messias, Vítor Carvalho, Andrea Pinamonti
Napoli 
Inter Milan 
Atalanta 
Juventus 
Roma 
Fiorentina 
Lazio 
AC Milan 
Bologna 
Como 
Torino 
Udinese 
Genoa 
Verona 
Cagliari 
Parma 
Lecce 
Empoli 
Venezia 
Monza