Our Napoli vs Genoa Prediction: 2-1
Napoli vs Genoa in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Napoli vs Genoa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Sporting
Napoli will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 UEFA Champions League success over Sporting on October 1. In that match, Napoli recorded 51% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Napoli | 51% | 7 (3) | 0.8 | 46 |
 Sporting | 49% | 5 (4) | 1.1 | 43 |
Genoa's Last Match – Genoa vs Lazio
Genoa must win to recover from their recent 0-3 Italy Serie A defeat against Lazio on September 29 and regain momentum. In that match, Genoa recorded 65% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Genoa | 65% | 11 (4) | 1.67 | 36 |
 Lazio | 35% | 8 (6) | 1.06 | 49 |
Napoli vs Genoa Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Genoa average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Napoli 21-11
Genoa 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.48
Draw: @4
Genoa to win: @8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Napoli (4-1-4-1) : Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Sam Beukema, Juan Jesus, Mathias Olivera, Stanislav Lobotka, Matteo Politano, Frank Anguissa, Scott Mctominay, David Neres, Rasmus Hojlund
Genoa (4-2-3-1) : Nicola Leali, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Alessandro Marcandalli, Johan Vasquez, Stefano Sabelli, Patrizio Masini, Morten Frendrup, Mikael Ellertsson, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Vítor Carvalho, Jeff Ekhator
Inter Milan 
AC Milan 
Napoli 
Roma 
Juventus 
Como 
Atalanta 
Lazio 
Bologna 
Udinese 
Sassuolo 
Torino 
Cremonese 
Parma 
Cagliari 
Lecce 
Genoa 
Fiorentina 
Pisa 
Verona