Our Napoli vs Parma Prediction: 2-1
Napoli vs Parma in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 14, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Napoli vs Parma prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Inter Milan vs Napoli
Napoli will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Italy Serie A stalemate against Inter Milan on January 11. In that match, Napoli controlled 50% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Inter Milan | 50% | 9 (4) | 1.45 | 47 |
 Napoli | 50% | 5 (3) | 0.73 | 25 |
Parma's Last Match – Lecce vs Parma
Determined to maintain their recent success, Parma must win following their 2-1 Italy Serie A victory against Lecce on January 11. In that match, Parma recorded 59% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lecce | 41% | 6 (1) | 0.87 | 29 |
 Parma | 59% | 7 (2) | 1.11 | 52 |
Napoli vs Parma Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Parma average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Napoli 15-9
Parma 10-12
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.285
Draw: @5.25
Parma to win: @12
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
Napoli (3-4-2-1) : Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Pasquale Mazzocchi, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott Mctominay, Mathias Olivera, Matteo Politano, Noa Lang, Rasmus Hojlund
Parma (4-3-3) : Filippo Rinaldi, Sascha Britschgi, Alessandro Circati, Lautaro Valenti, Troilo, Nahuel Estevez, Mandela Keita, Oliver Sorensen, Christian Nahuel Ordonez, Patrick Cutrone, Jacob Ondrejka
Inter Milan 
AC Milan 
Napoli 
Juventus 
Roma 
Como 
Atalanta 
Bologna 
Lazio 
Udinese 
Sassuolo 
Torino 
Cagliari 
Cremonese 
Parma 
Genoa 
Lecce 
Fiorentina 
Pisa 
Verona