Our Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction: 2-1
Napoli vs Sassuolo in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Napoli vs Sassuolo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Parma
Determined to get back to winning ways, Napoli must win after their 0-0 Italy Serie A draw against Parma on January 14. In that match, Napoli recorded 69% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Napoli | 69% | 8 (4) | 1.31 | 92 |
 Parma | 31% | 2 (1) | 0.18 | 12 |
Sassuolo's Last Match – Roma vs Sassuolo
Sassuolo will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 Italy Serie A setback against Roma on January 10. In that match, Sassuolo saw 36% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Roma | 64% | 16 (6) | 2.7 | 86 |
 Sassuolo | 36% | 4 (3) | 0.73 | 23 |
Napoli vs Sassuolo Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.47 | Attacking Strength | 1.08 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Sassuolo average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Napoli 14-8
Sassuolo 12-15
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.45
Draw: @4.333
Sassuolo to win: @8
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025
Lineups
Napoli (3-4-2-1) : Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Sam Beukema, Amir Rrahmani, Juan Jesus, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott Mctominay, Leonardo Spinazzola, Antonio Vergara, Rasmus Hojlund, Eljif Elmas
Sassuolo (4-3-3) : Arijanet Muric, Sebastian Walukiewicz, Jay Idzes, Tarik Muharemovic, Josh Doig, Luca Lipani, Nemanja Matic, Aster Vranckx, Alieu Fadera, Andrea Pinamonti, Armand Lauriente
Inter Milan 
AC Milan 
Napoli 
Roma 
Como 
Juventus 
Atalanta 
Bologna 
Sassuolo 
Udinese 
Lazio 
Parma 
Cagliari 
Torino 
Genoa 
Fiorentina 
Cremonese 
Lecce 
Pisa 
Verona