Our Ajax vs NEC Prediction: 2-2
Ajax vs NEC in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 2-2 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Ajax vs NEC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard
Ajax will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-1 Netherlands Eredivisie success over Fortuna Sittard on February 14. In that match, Ajax recorded 56% possession, attempting 14 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 56% | 14 (9) | 1.1 | 51 |
 Fortuna Sittard | 44% | 5 (2) | 0.83 | 24 |
NEC's Last Match – Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC
NEC must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Netherlands Eredivisie draw against Sparta Rotterdam on February 17. In that match, NEC saw 59% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sparta Rotterdam | 41% | 6 (5) | 1.69 | 38 |
 NEC | 59% | 3 (5) | 0.98 | 56 |
Ajax vs NEC Stats
Key Stats
| Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 1.55 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 1.04 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ajax are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while NEC average 2.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Ajax 19-19
NEC 23-14
What are the odds for this match?
Ajax to win: @1.75
Draw: @4.333
NEC to win: @4
Lineups
Ajax (4-3-3) : Maarten Paes, Lucas Rosa, Josip Sutalo, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Kian Fitz-Jim, Youri Regeer, Sean Steur, Rayane Bounida, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts
NEC (3-4-2-1) : Gonzalo Cretazz, Eli Dasa, Philippe Sandler, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Sami Ouaissa, Darko Nejasmic, Kodai Sano, Basar Onal, Tjaronn Chery, Noe Lebreton, Bryan Linssen