Our NEC vs Ajax Prediction: 3-2
NEC vs Ajax in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday December 20, 2025. We’re backing a 3-2 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This NEC vs Ajax prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
NEC's Last Match – Amsterdamsche FC vs NEC
NEC will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Netherlands Cup win against Amsterdamsche FC on December 16. In that match, NEC recorded 68% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amsterdamsche FC | 32% | 0 (1) | - | 29 |
 NEC | 68% | 0 (6) | - | 68 |
Ajax's Last Match – Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax
Ajax will seek to keep their streak alive after a 7-2 Netherlands Cup victory over Excelsior Maassluis on December 17. In that match, Ajax saw 69% of the ball and 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Excelsior Maassluis | 31% | 0 (4) | 1.17 | 33 |
 Ajax | 69% | 0 (8) | 2.24 | 73 |
NEC vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| NEC | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | Attacking Strength | 1.37 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.5 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
NEC are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Ajax average 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
NEC 25-16
Ajax 21-15
What are the odds for this match?
NEC to win: @2.2
Draw: @4
Ajax to win: @2.8
Lineups
NEC (3-4-2-1) : Gonzalo Cretazz, Eli Dasa, Philippe Sandler, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Sami Ouaissa, Darko Nejasmic, Kodai Sano, Basar Onal, Tjaronn Chery, Bryan Linssen, Koki Ogawa
Ajax (4-3-3) : Vitezslav Jaros, Anton Gaaei, Kou Itakura, Youri Baas, Lucas Rosa, Davy Klaassen, Youri Regeer, Sean Steur, Oscar Gloukh, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts
PSV 
Feyenoord 
Ajax 
NEC 
FC Groningen 
AZ 
FC Twente 
FC Utrecht 
Heerenveen 
Sparta Rotterdam 
Fortuna Sittard 
Excelsior 
Go Ahead Eagles 
PEC Zwolle 
Telstar 
FC Volendam 
Heracles 
NAC