Our NEC vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction: 3-1
NEC vs Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This NEC vs Fortuna Sittard prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
NEC's Last Match – Ajax vs NEC
NEC will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Netherlands Eredivisie draw with Ajax on February 21. In that match, NEC controlled 52% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 48% | 7 (4) | 1.47 | 25 |
 NEC | 52% | 13 (10) | 1.16 | 47 |
Fortuna Sittard's Last Match – Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Netherlands Eredivisie triumph against Excelsior on February 20. In that match, Fortuna Sittard recorded 46% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fortuna Sittard | 46% | 13 (6) | 1.93 | 41 |
 Excelsior | 54% | 7 (4) | 1.23 | 55 |
NEC vs Fortuna Sittard Stats
Key Stats
| NEC | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 1.21 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
NEC are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Fortuna Sittard average 1.7 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
NEC 21-14
Fortuna Sittard 17-21
What are the odds for this match?
NEC to win: @1.45
Draw: @5
Fortuna Sittard to win: @6.25
Lineups
NEC (3-4-1-2) : Gonzalo Cretazz, Brayann Pereira, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Deveron Fonville, Sami Ouaissa, Kodai Sano, Darko Nejasmic, Basar Onal, Tjaronn Chery, Danilo, Koki Ogawa
Fortuna Sittard (4-2-3-1) : Luuk Koopmans, Ivo Pinto, Ivan Marquez, Justin Hubner, Jasper Dahlhaus, Philip Brittijn, Edouard Michut, Dimitris Limnios, Mohammed Ihattaren, Lance Duijvestijn, Kaj Sierhuis