Our Bournemouth vs Newcastle Prediction: 1-1
Bournemouth vs Newcastle in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 21, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Bournemouth vs Newcastle prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bournemouth's Last Match – Bournemouth vs Brighton
Determined to maintain their recent success, Bournemouth must win following their 2-1 England Premier League victory against Brighton on September 13. In that match, Bournemouth controlled 52% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bournemouth | 52% | 9 (5) | 1.47 | 46 |
 Brighton | 48% | 4 (2) | 0.61 | 47 |
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Barcelona
Newcastle will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 UEFA Champions League defeat against Barcelona on September 18. In that match, Newcastle recorded 36% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 36% | 7 (6) | 1.26 | 52 |
 Barcelona | 64% | 12 (5) | 1.26 | 53 |
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Stats
Key Stats
| Bournemouth | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bournemouth are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Newcastle average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Bournemouth 12-14
Newcastle 9-14
What are the odds for this match?
Bournemouth to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.5
Newcastle to win: @2.875
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1) : Djordje Petrovic, Alex Jimenez, Bafode Diakite, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Tyler Adams, Alex Scott, Antoine Semenyo, Marcus Tavernier, David Brooks, Evanilson
Newcastle (3-5-2) : Nick Pope, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Tino Livramento, Joe Willock, Lewis Miley, Sandro Tonali, Lewis Hall, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade
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