Our Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction: 1-2
Brighton vs Newcastle in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 4, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.
This Brighton vs Newcastle prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Brighton's Last Match – Brighton vs West Ham
Brighton will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-2 England Premier League victory over West Ham on April 26. In that match, Brighton recorded 53% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brighton | 53% | 12 (9) | 1.35 | 73 |
West Ham | 47% | 8 (4) | 1.24 | 43 |
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Ipswich
Newcastle will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-0 England Premier League victory over Ipswich on April 26. In that match, Newcastle recorded 78% possession, attempting 14 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle | 78% | 14 (5) | 3.02 | 30 |
Ipswich | 22% | 1 (0) | 0.11 | 17 |
Brighton vs Newcastle Stats
Key Stats
| Brighton | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Brighton are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Newcastle average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Brighton 16-18
Newcastle 22-11
What are the odds for this match?
Brighton to win: @2.875
Draw: @3.7
Newcastle to win: @2.3
Lineups
Brighton (4-2-3-1) : Bart Verbruggen, Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul Van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Pervis Estupinan, Carlos Baleba, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Matt O'Riley, Simon Adingra, Danny Welbeck
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Fabian Schar, Dan Burn, Tino Livramento, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joe Willock, Jacob Murphy, Alexander Isak, Harvey Barnes