Our Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction: 1-1
Newcastle vs Chelsea in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday December 20, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Marseille vs Newcastle
After suffering a 1-2 UEFA Champions League loss to Marseille, Newcastle must win to get back on track. In that match, Newcastle saw 42% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 58% | 12 (7) | 1.64 | 59 |
 Newcastle | 42% | 11 (9) | 1.46 | 52 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Barcelona
Chelsea will hope to extend their good run following a 3-0 UEFA Champions League win against Barcelona on November 25. In that match, Chelsea recorded 55% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 55% | 9 (6) | 1.75 | 48 |
 Barcelona | 45% | 4 (2) | 0.79 | 22 |
Newcastle vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 1.34 |
| 0.63 | Defence Strength | 0.52 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 2.6 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.