Our Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction: 1-1
Newcastle vs Chelsea in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday December 20, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Fulham
Newcastle will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 England EFL Cup victory over Fulham, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Newcastle saw 61% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle | 61% | 9 (6) | 1.53 | 53 |
Fulham | 39% | 6 (3) | 0.42 | 37 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Cardiff vs Chelsea
Chelsea will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 England EFL Cup win against Cardiff on December 16. In that match, Chelsea recorded 54% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cardiff | 46% | 8 (4) | 0.58 | 49 |
Chelsea | 54% | 8 (7) | 2.56 | 57 |
Newcastle vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 1.29 |
| 0.88 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Newcastle 18-14
Chelsea 18-9
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.6
Chelsea to win: @2.5
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Aaron Ramsdale, Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schar, Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Ramsey, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Robert Sanchez, Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Reece James, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro



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