Our Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction: 2-1
Chelsea vs Newcastle in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 14, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – PSG vs Chelsea
Chelsea will aim to put their last result behind them following a 2-5 UEFA Champions League loss to PSG on March 11. In that match, Chelsea recorded 42% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PSG | 58% | 9 (8) | 0.87 | 57 |
 Chelsea | 42% | 6 (4) | 1.52 | 27 |
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Barcelona
Newcastle should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 UEFA Champions League draw against Barcelona on March 10. In that match, Newcastle controlled 46% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 46% | 11 (4) | 1.36 | 48 |
 Barcelona | 54% | 6 (2) | 0.68 | 24 |
Chelsea vs Newcastle Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 10/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Newcastle average 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Chelsea 24-17
Newcastle 23-18
What are the odds for this match?
Chelsea to win: @1.8
Draw: @4.2
Newcastle to win: @3.8