Our Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction: 3-1
Newcastle vs Chelsea in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 11, 2025. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Brighton vs Newcastle
Newcastle will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 England Premier League draw against Brighton on May 4. In that match, Newcastle recorded 54% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brighton | 46% | 3 (2) | 0.62 | 32 |
 Newcastle | 54% | 8 (5) | 1.74 | 49 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Djurgarden
Chelsea will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 UEFA Conference League victory over Djurgarden, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Chelsea saw 65% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 65% | 12 (5) | 1.32 | 60 |
 Djurgarden | 35% | 5 (3) | 0.52 | 29 |
Newcastle vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Attacking Strength | 0.63 |
| 0.77 | Defence Strength | 1.01 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Newcastle 23-10
Chelsea 18-7
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.75
Chelsea to win: @3
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Nick Pope, Sven Botman, Fabian Schar, Dan Burn, Tino Livramento, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Anthony Gordon, Jacob Murphy, Alexander Isak, Harvey Barnes
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Robert Sanchez, Moises Caicedo, Trevoh Chalobah, Levi Colwill, Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Noni Madueke, Nicolas Jackson
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