Our Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction: 2-1
Chelsea vs Newcastle in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 14, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Chelsea will aim to maintain their momentum following a 4-1 England Premier League triumph against Aston Villa on March 4. In that match, Chelsea recorded 57% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aston Villa | 43% | 7 (4) | 0.87 | 36 |
 Chelsea | 57% | 11 (8) | 3.92 | 37 |
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Man Utd
Newcastle will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 England Premier League victory over Man Utd, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Newcastle controlled 45% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 45% | 10 (5) | 2.21 | 44 |
 Man Utd | 55% | 9 (5) | 1.28 | 45 |
Chelsea vs Newcastle Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Attacking Strength | 1.03 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 10/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Newcastle average 2.3 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Chelsea 24-13
Newcastle 23-21
What are the odds for this match?
Chelsea to win: @1.8
Draw: @4.2
Newcastle to win: @3.8
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