Our Chelsea vs PSG Prediction: 1-1
Chelsea vs PSG in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 17, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Newcastle
Chelsea will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 England Premier League defeat against Newcastle on March 14. In that match, Chelsea recorded 67% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 67% | 13 (3) | 1.42 | 81 |
 Newcastle | 33% | 5 (5) | 1.41 | 34 |
PSG's Last Match – PSG vs Chelsea
PSG will hope to extend their good run following a 5-2 UEFA Champions League win against Chelsea on March 11. In that match, PSG had 58% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PSG | 58% | 9 (8) | 0.87 | 57 |
| Chelsea | 42% | 6 (4) | 1.52 | 27 |
Chelsea vs PSG Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 1.61 |
| 0.54 | Defence Strength | 0.57 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while PSG average 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Chelsea 21-16
PSG 24-14
What are the odds for this match?
Chelsea to win: @2.05
Draw: @4.2
PSG to win: @3