PSG vs Chelsea Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our PSG vs Chelsea Prediction: 3-1

PSG vs Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 11, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.

This PSG vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

PSG's Last Match – PSG vs Monaco

After suffering a 1-3 France Ligue 1 loss to Monaco, PSG must win to get back on track. In that match, PSG saw 72% of the ball and created 16 goal attempts, with 5 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
PSG	72%	16 (5)	1.08	98
Monaco	28%	10 (6)	1.33	34

Chelsea's Last Match – Wrexham vs Chelsea

Chelsea must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 4-2 England FA Cup victory over Wrexham in their last outing. In that match, Chelsea recorded 68% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Wrexham	32%	11 (5)	1.93	48
Chelsea	68%	13 (7)	1.61	84

PSG vs Chelsea Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

PSG are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 2.5 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

PSG to win: @1.85

Draw: @3.8

Chelsea to win: @3.9

PSG Fixtures

Chelsea Fixtures