Our Newcastle vs Man City Prediction: 1-3
Newcastle vs Man City in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. Our prediction leans towards a 1-3 away victory, though another solid betting option is over 2.5 goals, considering both teams’ attacking form.
This Newcastle vs Man City prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs FK Qarabag
Newcastle must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-2 UEFA Champions League victory over FK Qarabag in their last outing. In that match, Newcastle controlled 66% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 66% | 12 (8) | 2.63 | 61 |
 FK Qarabag | 34% | 8 (6) | 1.34 | 24 |
Man City's Last Match – Man City vs Newcastle
Man City will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 England Premier League success over Newcastle on February 21. In that match, Man City recorded 55% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 55% | 11 (7) | 1.35 | 58 |
| Newcastle | 45% | 8 (7) | 0.58 | 37 |
Newcastle vs Man City Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | Attacking Strength | 1.76 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 0.39 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Man City average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Newcastle 20-20
Man City 19-10
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @3.3
Draw: @3.8
Man City to win: @2