Our Nigeria vs Mozambique Prediction: 3-1
Nigeria vs Mozambique in the Africa Cup of Nations is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Monday January 5, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Nigeria vs Mozambique prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nigeria's Last Match – Uganda vs Nigeria
Nigeria will want to continue their winning form after a 3-1 Africa Cup of Nations victory over Uganda, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Nigeria saw 72% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Uganda | 28% | 4 (1) | 0.77 | 21 |
 Nigeria | 72% | 9 (6) | 2.46 | 44 |
Mozambique's Last Match – Mozambique vs Cameroon
Mozambique must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Africa Cup of Nations defeat against Cameroon on December 31. In that match, Mozambique recorded 52% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mozambique | 52% | 5 (2) | 0.99 | 16 |
 Cameroon | 48% | 9 (6) | 2.05 | 44 |
Nigeria vs Mozambique Stats
Key Stats
| Nigeria | Mozambique | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | Attacking Strength | 1.3 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 1.7 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nigeria are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Mozambique average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Nigeria 22-10
Mozambique 11-18
What are the odds for this match?
Nigeria to win: @1.333
Draw: @4.5
Mozambique to win: @11
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Ivory Coast 
Cameroon 
Mozambique 
Gabon