Our NK Celje vs Lugano Prediction: 4-1
NK Celje vs Lugano in the UEFA Conference League Qualifying is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday August 14, 2025. We’re backing a 4-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This NK Celje vs Lugano prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
NK Celje's Last Match – NK Celje vs NS Mura
NK Celje will want to continue their winning form after a 3-0 Slovenia Prva Liga victory over NS Mura, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, NK Celje had 60% possession and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NK Celje | 60% | 0 (4) | - | 69 |
NS Mura | 40% | 0 (7) | - | 50 |
Lugano's Last Match – Lugano vs Basel
Lugano must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 Switzerland Super League victory over Basel in their last outing. In that match, Lugano saw 50% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lugano | 50% | 7 (6) | 3.41 | 34 |
Basel | 50% | 4 (3) | 2 | 48 |
NK Celje vs Lugano Stats
Key Stats
| NK Celje | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Attacking Strength | 0.86 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 1.78 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.6 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
NK Celje are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Lugano average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
NK Celje 26-11
Lugano 14-20
What are the odds for this match?
NK Celje to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.5
Lugano to win: @2.9



NK Celje
NS Mura
Lugano
Basel
Strasbourg
Rakow Czestochowa
AEK Athens
Sparta Prague
Rayo Vallecano
Shakhtar Donetsk
Mainz
AEK Larnaca
Lausanne Sports
Crystal Palace
Lech Poznan
Samsunspor
NK Celje
AZ
Fiorentina
HNK Rijeka
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Omonia Nicosia
FC Noah
KF Drita
KuPS Kuopio
Shkendija Tetovo
Zrinjski Mostar
Sigma Olomouc
CS U Craiova
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Dynamo Kiev
Legia Warsaw
Slovan Bratislava
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
BK Hacken
Hamrun Spartans
Shelbourne
Aberdeen
Rapid Vienna