Our North Carolina FC vs Phoenix Rising FC Prediction: 2-1
North Carolina FC vs Phoenix Rising FC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Friday October 10, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This North Carolina FC vs Phoenix Rising FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
North Carolina FC's Last Match – Detroit City FC vs North Carolina FC
North Carolina FC will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 USA USL Championship loss to Detroit City FC on October 4. In that match, North Carolina FC recorded 54% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Detroit City FC | 46% | 0 (3) | 1.11 | 38 |
 North Carolina FC | 54% | 0 (2) | 0.6 | 58 |
Phoenix Rising FC's Last Match – Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising FC will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 USA USL Championship defeat against New Mexico United on October 5. In that match, Phoenix Rising FC had 46% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Phoenix Rising FC | 46% | 0 (5) | 0.52 | 59 |
 New Mexico United | 54% | 0 (4) | 1.42 | 51 |
North Carolina FC vs Phoenix Rising FC Stats
Key Stats
| North Carolina FC | Phoenix Rising FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.09 | Defence Strength | 1.15 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
North Carolina FC are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Phoenix Rising FC average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
North Carolina FC 13-13
Phoenix Rising FC 18-18
What are the odds for this match?
North Carolina FC to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.5
Phoenix Rising FC to win: @3.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825