Our Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United Prediction: 2-1
Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 12, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Phoenix Rising FC's Last Match – Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising FC must win to recover from their recent 0-2 USA USL Championship defeat against Sacramento Republic on April 5 and regain momentum. In that match, Phoenix Rising FC controlled 61% of possession and managed 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento Republic | 39% | 0 (5) | 0.8 | 37 |
 Phoenix Rising FC | 61% | 0 (1) | 0.84 | 55 |
New Mexico United's Last Match – Orange County SC vs New Mexico United
New Mexico United must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 USA USL Championship victory over Orange County SC in their last outing. In that match, New Mexico United saw 42% of the ball and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Orange County SC | 58% | 0 (3) | 0.65 | 80 |
 New Mexico United | 42% | 0 (1) | 0.88 | 37 |
Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United Stats
Key Stats
| Phoenix Rising FC | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 1.45 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Phoenix Rising FC are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while New Mexico United average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising FC 14-11
New Mexico United 14-16
What are the odds for this match?
Phoenix Rising FC to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.4
New Mexico United to win: @2.8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825