Our Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United Prediction: 2-2
Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. Our forecast favors a 2-2 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Phoenix Rising FC's Last Match – Phoenix Rising FC vs Oakland Roots
Phoenix Rising FC will seek to go one better this time following a 3-3 USA USL Championship share of the spoils with Oakland Roots on September 28. In that match, Phoenix Rising FC recorded 65% possession, firing 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Phoenix Rising FC | 65% | 0 (6) | 2.3 | 45 |
 Oakland Roots | 35% | 0 (4) | 1.72 | 48 |
New Mexico United's Last Match – New Mexico United vs Lexington SC
New Mexico United will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 USA USL Championship victory over Lexington SC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, New Mexico United saw 64% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico United | 64% | 0 (2) | 1.18 | 75 |
Lexington SC | 36% | 0 (2) | 0.33 | 58 |
Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United Stats
Key Stats
| Phoenix Rising FC | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | Attacking Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.31 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Phoenix Rising FC are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while New Mexico United average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising FC 19-21
New Mexico United 14-13
What are the odds for this match?
Phoenix Rising FC to win: @2.1
Draw: @3
New Mexico United to win: @3.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
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