Our New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction: 2-1
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This New Mexico United vs Orange County SC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
New Mexico United's Last Match – New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC
New Mexico United will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 USA USL Championship victory over San Antonio FC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, New Mexico United saw 55% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico United | 55% | 0 (3) | 1.85 | 35 |
 San Antonio FC | 45% | 0 (4) | 0.38 | 48 |
Orange County SC's Last Match – Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC
Orange County SC will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 USA USL Championship draw against Sacramento Republic on November 3. In that match, Orange County SC had 49% possession and 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento Republic | 51% | 0 (1) | 0.91 | 104 |
 Orange County SC | 49% | 0 (0) | 0.41 | 79 |
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Stats
Key Stats
| New Mexico United | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.31 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
New Mexico United are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Orange County SC average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
New Mexico United 20-11
Orange County SC 11-12
What are the odds for this match?
New Mexico United to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.4
Orange County SC to win: @3.4