Our New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction: 2-1
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 12, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This New Mexico United vs Orange County SC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
New Mexico United's Last Match – Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United
New Mexico United will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 USA USL Championship victory over Phoenix Rising FC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, New Mexico United had 54% possession and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Phoenix Rising FC | 46% | 0 (5) | 0.52 | 59 |
 New Mexico United | 54% | 0 (4) | 1.42 | 51 |
Orange County SC's Last Match – Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC
Determined to get back to winning ways, Orange County SC must win after their 0-0 USA USL Championship draw against El Paso Locomotive FC on October 5. In that match, Orange County SC recorded 51% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Orange County SC | 51% | 0 (2) | 1.19 | 44 |
 El Paso Locomotive FC | 49% | 0 (4) | 0.82 | 49 |
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Stats
Key Stats
| New Mexico United | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 0.85 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
New Mexico United are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Orange County SC average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
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