Our Orange County SC vs New Mexico United Prediction: 2-1
Orange County SC vs New Mexico United in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Orange County SC vs New Mexico United stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Orange County SC's Last Match – Orange County SC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC
Determined to maintain their recent success, Orange County SC must win following their 1-0 USA USL Championship victory against Colorado Switchbacks FC on March 22. In that match, Orange County SC recorded 52% possession and 1 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Orange County SC | 52% | 0 (1) | 0.28 | 31 |
 Colorado Switchbacks FC | 48% | 0 (2) | 0.88 | 76 |
New Mexico United's Last Match – New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC
New Mexico United must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-2 USA USL Championship victory over Colorado Switchbacks FC in their last outing. In that match, New Mexico United recorded 51% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico United | 51% | 12 (4) | 1.49 | 34 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | 49% | 7 (3) | 2.12 | 34 |
Orange County SC vs New Mexico United Stats
Key Stats
| Orange County SC | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | Attacking Strength | 0.71 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Orange County SC are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while New Mexico United average 1.9 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
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