Our Orange County SC vs New Mexico United Prediction: 2-1
Orange County SC vs New Mexico United in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Orange County SC vs New Mexico United stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Orange County SC's Last Match – Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising FC
Orange County SC must win to recover from their recent 1-2 USA US Open Cup defeat against Phoenix Rising FC on April 2 and regain momentum.
New Mexico United's Last Match – New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive FC
New Mexico United must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-4 USA US Open Cup defeat against El Paso Locomotive FC on April 2. In that match, New Mexico United recorded 44% possession, firing 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico United | 44% | 0 (1) | 0.48 | 34 |
 El Paso Locomotive FC | 56% | 0 (4) | 0.63 | 45 |
Orange County SC vs New Mexico United Stats
Key Stats
| Orange County SC | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Orange County SC are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while New Mexico United average 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Orange County SC 12-8
New Mexico United 16-19
What are the odds for this match?
Orange County SC to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.25
New Mexico United to win: @3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9