Our Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FC Prediction: 2-1
Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 14, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sacramento Republic's Last Match – Rhode Island FC vs Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 USA USL League One Cup draw against Rhode Island FC on September 10. In that match, Sacramento Republic had 52% possession and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rhode Island FC | 48% | 0 (0) | 0.81 | 36 |
 Sacramento Republic | 52% | 0 (1) | 0.83 | 47 |
Phoenix Rising FC's Last Match – Phoenix Rising FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC
Phoenix Rising FC will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 USA USL Championship draw against Las Vegas Lights FC on September 6. In that match, Phoenix Rising FC recorded 63% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Phoenix Rising FC | 63% | 0 (2) | 0.18 | 44 |
 Las Vegas Lights FC | 37% | 0 (3) | 0.63 | 48 |
Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising FC Stats
Key Stats
| Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | Attacking Strength | 1 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 1.04 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sacramento Republic are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Phoenix Rising FC average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Sacramento Republic 12-5
Phoenix Rising FC 16-18
What are the odds for this match?
Sacramento Republic to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.75
Phoenix Rising FC to win: @4.333
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925