Our Derby vs Norwich Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Norwich in the England Championship is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday October 21, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Derby vs Norwich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Southampton
Derby will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 England Championship draw against Southampton on October 4. In that match, Derby had 37% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 37% | 9 (6) | 1.21 | 47 |
 Southampton | 63% | 12 (7) | 1.43 | 55 |
Norwich's Last Match – Ipswich vs Norwich
Norwich must win to recover from their recent 1-3 England Championship defeat against Ipswich on October 5 and regain momentum. In that match, Norwich controlled 47% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ipswich | 53% | 10 (9) | 1.66 | 37 |
 Norwich | 47% | 10 (4) | 0.46 | 29 |
Derby vs Norwich Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | Attacking Strength | 1 |
| 0.91 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Norwich average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.