Our Derby vs Norwich Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Norwich in the England Championship is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday October 21, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Derby vs Norwich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Oxford Utd vs Derby
Derby will look to get back on track following a 0-1 England Championship loss against Oxford Utd on October 18. In that match, Derby had 50% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oxford Utd | 50% | 15 (7) | 1.82 | 36 |
 Derby | 50% | 5 (1) | 0.23 | 47 |
Norwich's Last Match – Norwich vs Bristol City
Norwich must win to recover from their recent 0-1 England Championship defeat against Bristol City on October 18 and regain momentum. In that match, Norwich controlled 59% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Norwich | 59% | 7 (3) | 0.81 | 31 |
 Bristol City | 41% | 9 (6) | 1.91 | 39 |
Derby vs Norwich Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | Attacking Strength | 1 |
| 0.91 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Norwich average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.