Our Norwich vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Norwich vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday April 21, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Norwich vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Norwich's Last Match – Norwich vs Ipswich
Norwich will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 England Championship setback against Ipswich on April 11. In that match, Norwich controlled 67% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Norwich | 67% | 7 (3) | 0.88 | 60 |
 Ipswich | 33% | 7 (5) | 1.97 | 22 |
Derby's Last Match – Southampton vs Derby
Derby will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 England Championship defeat at the hands of Southampton on April 11. In that match, Derby recorded 38% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southampton | 62% | 12 (5) | 1.64 | 84 |
 Derby | 38% | 5 (3) | 0.91 | 31 |
Norwich vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Norwich | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Norwich are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.