Our Nova Iguacu vs Fluminense Prediction: 0-1
Nova Iguacu vs Fluminense in the Brazil Campeonato Carioca is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 22, 2026. Our forecast favors a 0-1 away victory for Fluminense, with a single goal likely to decide this tense encounter against Nova Iguacu.
This Nova Iguacu vs Fluminense prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nova Iguacu's Last Match – Nova Iguacu vs Araruama FC
Nova Iguacu will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Brazil Copa Rio draw with Araruama FC on August 27. In that match, Nova Iguacu had 67% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nova Iguacu | 67% | 0 (2) | - | 60 |
Araruama FC | 33% | 0 (2) | - | 41 |
Fluminense's Last Match – Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama
Fluminense will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Copa do Brasil victory over Vasco da Gama, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Fluminense recorded 47% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fluminense | 47% | 8 (3) | 0.84 | 35 |
 Vasco da Gama | 53% | 9 (6) | 0.67 | 43 |
Nova Iguacu vs Fluminense Stats
Key Stats
| Nova Iguacu | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 0.5 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nova Iguacu are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Fluminense average 1.5 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
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