Our Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu Prediction: 1-1
Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu in the Brazil Campeonato Carioca is scheduled for an 21:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 18, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians
After suffering a 1-2 Copa do Brasil loss to Corinthians, Vasco da Gama must win to get back on track. In that match, Vasco da Gama recorded 62% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vasco da Gama | 62% | 10 (4) | 1.13 | 76 |
 Corinthians | 38% | 5 (2) | 1.44 | 8 |
Nova Iguacu's Last Match – Nova Iguacu vs Araruama FC
Nova Iguacu will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Brazil Copa Rio draw with Araruama FC on August 27. In that match, Nova Iguacu controlled 67% of possession and managed 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nova Iguacu | 67% | 0 (2) | - | 60 |
Araruama FC | 33% | 0 (2) | - | 41 |
Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Nova Iguacu | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.77 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Nova Iguacu average 0.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
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Nova Iguacu