Our Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu Prediction: 1-1
Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu in the Brazil Campeonato Carioca is scheduled for an 21:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 18, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Marica RJ
Vasco da Gama will want to continue their winning form after a 4-2 Brazil Campeonato Carioca victory over Marica RJ, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Vasco da Gama recorded 56% possession, firing 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vasco da Gama | 56% | 0 (5) | 2.65 | 61 |
Marica RJ | 44% | 0 (4) | 0.87 | 54 |
Nova Iguacu's Last Match – Sampaio Correa RJ vs Nova Iguacu
Nova Iguacu will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-1 Brazil Campeonato Carioca success over Sampaio Correa RJ on January 15.
Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Nova Iguacu | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Attacking Strength | 0.76 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Nova Iguacu average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Vasco da Gama 12-17
Nova Iguacu 12-11
What are the odds for this match?
Vasco da Gama to win: @1.55
Draw: @3.75
Nova Iguacu to win: @5
Portuguesa RJ 
Nova Iguacu