Our Atlante vs Oaxaca Prediction: 2-1
Atlante vs Oaxaca in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Atlante vs Oaxaca stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atlante's Last Match – Correcaminos vs Atlante
Atlante will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Mexico Liga de Expansion draw with Correcaminos on February 14. In that match, Atlante recorded 64% possession and 10 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Correcaminos | 36% | 0 (2) | - | 27 |
 Atlante | 64% | 0 (10) | - | 58 |
Oaxaca's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC
Oaxaca will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion stalemate against Tlaxcala FC on February 14. In that match, Oaxaca recorded 47% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oaxaca | 47% | 0 (2) | - | 46 |
Tlaxcala FC | 53% | 0 (3) | - | 31 |
Atlante vs Oaxaca Stats
Key Stats
| Atlante | Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Attacking Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atlante are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Oaxaca average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Atlante 18-10
Oaxaca 12-13
What are the odds for this match?
Atlante to win: @1.38
Draw: @4.75
Oaxaca to win: @7.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9