Our Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC Prediction: 2-2
Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 2-2 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Oaxaca's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia
Oaxaca must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Atletico Morelia on January 17. In that match, Oaxaca recorded 58% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oaxaca | 58% | 10 (5) | - | 42 |
 Atletico Morelia | 42% | 6 (4) | - | 31 |
Tlaxcala FC's Last Match – Tlaxcala FC vs Cancun FC
Tlaxcala FC will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion victory over Cancun FC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Tlaxcala FC saw 66% of the ball and 11 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tlaxcala FC | 66% | 0 (11) | - | 116 |
Cancun FC | 34% | 0 (2) | - | 58 |
Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC Stats
Key Stats
| Oaxaca | Tlaxcala FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | Attacking Strength | 0.95 |
| 1.82 | Defence Strength | 1.47 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Oaxaca are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Tlaxcala FC average 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.