Our Puebla vs Pachuca Prediction: 1-3
Puebla vs Pachuca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday September 24, 2025. With both teams showing attacking intent, a 1-3 away victory is our primary pick, but over 2.5 goals stands out as another strong betting choice.
This Puebla vs Pachuca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Puebla's Last Match – Necaxa vs Puebla
After suffering a 0-1 Mexico Liga MX loss to Necaxa, Puebla must win to get back on track. In that match, Puebla controlled 53% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Necaxa | 47% | 7 (3) | 0.81 | 43 |
 Puebla | 53% | 13 (5) | 0.67 | 50 |
Pachuca's Last Match – Pachuca vs Queretaro
Pachuca will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Mexico Liga MX loss against Queretaro on September 20. In that match, Pachuca recorded 77% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pachuca | 77% | 10 (4) | 0.85 | 58 |
 Queretaro | 23% | 8 (4) | 1.3 | 20 |
Puebla vs Pachuca Stats
Key Stats
| Puebla | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | Attacking Strength | 1.47 |
| 1.39 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Puebla are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Pachuca average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Puebla 9-21
Pachuca 11-14
What are the odds for this match?
Puebla to win: @3.8
Draw: @3.6
Pachuca to win: @1.909
Lineups
Puebla (4-4-2) : Julio Gonzalez, Jesus Rivas, Eduardo Navarro, Nicolas Diaz, Fernando Monarrez, Owen Gonzalez, Ariel Gamarra, Franco Moyano, Emiliano Gomez, Ricardo Marin, Raul Castillo
Pachuca (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Moreno, Brian Garcia, Eduardo Bauermann, Sergio Barreto, Daniel Aceves, Alan Bautista, Pedro Pedraza, Robert Kenedy, Luis Quinones, Oussama Idrissi, Enner Valencia
Toluca 
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Pachuca 
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Puebla