Our Pachuca vs Puebla Prediction: 1-1
Pachuca vs Puebla in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Pachuca vs Puebla prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Pachuca's Last Match – Pachuca vs Necaxa
Pachuca will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Necaxa, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Pachuca saw 44% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pachuca | 44% | 13 (9) | 1.05 | 53 |
 Necaxa | 56% | 9 (4) | 0.53 | 47 |
Puebla's Last Match – Puebla vs Tigres UANL
Puebla will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-1 Mexico Liga MX triumph against Tigres UANL on March 5. In that match, Puebla recorded 39% possession, attempting 15 shots on goal, with 12 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 39% | 15 (12) | 1.62 | 18 |
 Tigres UANL | 61% | 10 (4) | 1.98 | 47 |
Pachuca vs Puebla Stats
Key Stats
| Pachuca | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 0.98 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Pachuca are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Puebla average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Pachuca 15-8
Puebla 10-12
What are the odds for this match?
Pachuca to win: @1.65
Draw: @4
Puebla to win: @5.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Pachuca (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Moreno, Carlos Sanchez, Eduardo Bauermann, Sergio Barreto, Brian Garcia, Sergio Lenin Rodriguez, Christian Rivera, Alexei Dominguez, Robert Kenedy, Oussama Idrissi, Salomon Rondon
Puebla (5-3-2) : Ricardo Gutierrez, Iker Moreno, Rodrigo Pachuca, Juan Pablo Vargas, Nicolas Diaz, Fernando Monarrez, Kevin Velasco, Luis Rey, Alonso Ramirez, Emiliano Gomez, Edgar Guerra