Our Pachuca vs Necaxa Prediction: 2-1
Pachuca vs Necaxa in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Pachuca vs Necaxa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Pachuca's Last Match – Mazatlan FC vs Pachuca
Pachuca must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Mazatlan FC on February 28. In that match, Pachuca had 67% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mazatlan FC | 33% | 10 (4) | 1.79 | 25 |
 Pachuca | 67% | 5 (4) | 0.88 | 80 |
Necaxa's Last Match – Leon vs Necaxa
Necaxa will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Mexico Liga MX loss against Leon on March 1. In that match, Necaxa saw 47% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 53% | 13 (6) | 2.53 | 61 |
 Necaxa | 47% | 4 (4) | 0.29 | 22 |
Pachuca vs Necaxa Stats
Key Stats
| Pachuca | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Attacking Strength | 1.39 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 1.48 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Pachuca are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Necaxa average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Pachuca 14-9
Necaxa 15-15
What are the odds for this match?
Pachuca to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.5
Necaxa to win: @4.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
Lineups
Pachuca (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Moreno, Carlos Sanchez, Eduardo Bauermann, Sergio Barreto, Brian Garcia, Sergio Lenin Rodriguez, Christian Rivera, Alexei Dominguez, Robert Kenedy, Oussama Idrissi, Salomon Rondon
Necaxa (3-4-1-2) : Ezequiel Unsain, Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz, Alexis Pena, Agustin Oliveros, Ricardo Monreal, Danny Leyva, Lorenzo Faravelli, Franco Rossano, Israel Tello, Tomas Badaloni, Kevin Rosero