Our Necaxa vs Leon Prediction: 2-2
Necaxa vs Leon in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday August 16, 2025. A 2-2 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Necaxa vs Leon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Necaxa's Last Match – Unam Pumas vs Necaxa
Necaxa will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX share of the spoils with Unam Pumas on August 11. In that match, Necaxa had 34% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Unam Pumas | 66% | 9 (5) | 1.78 | 70 |
 Necaxa | 34% | 4 (5) | 0.71 | 23 |
Leon's Last Match – Leon vs Monterrey
Leon will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Monterrey on August 12. In that match, Leon controlled 55% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 55% | 10 (2) | 0.87 | 5 |
 Monterrey | 45% | 12 (4) | 1.63 | 6 |
Necaxa vs Leon Stats
Key Stats
| Necaxa | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.32 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Necaxa are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Leon average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Necaxa 16-19
Leon 9-18
What are the odds for this match?
Necaxa to win: @2
Draw: @3.3
Leon to win: @3.75