Our Leon vs Necaxa Prediction: 2-2
Leon vs Necaxa in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. We expect a 2-2 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Leon vs Necaxa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Leon's Last Match – Leon vs Santos Laguna
Leon will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Santos Laguna on February 22. In that match, Leon recorded 47% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 47% | 6 (4) | 1.04 | 24 |
 Santos Laguna | 53% | 10 (4) | 0.6 | 49 |
Necaxa's Last Match – Necaxa vs Toluca
Necaxa must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-3 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Toluca on February 22. In that match, Necaxa had 45% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Necaxa | 45% | 11 (6) | 0.47 | 41 |
 Toluca | 55% | 12 (6) | 2.11 | 41 |
Leon vs Necaxa Stats
Key Stats
| Leon | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.39 | Defence Strength | 1.52 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leon are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Necaxa average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Leon 9-15
Necaxa 18-16
What are the odds for this match?
Leon to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.4
Necaxa to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
Lineups
Leon (4-3-3) : Oscar Garcia, David Ramirez, Stiven Barreiro, Sebastian Vegas, Salvador Reyes, Ivan Moreno, Rodrigo Echeverria, Daniel Arcila, Ismael Diaz, Diber Cambindo, Javier Nicolas Vallejo
Necaxa (3-4-2-1) : Ezequiel Unsain, Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz, Alexis Pena, Agustin Oliveros, Ricardo Monreal, Lorenzo Faravelli, Danny Leyva, Cristian Calderon, Israel Tello, Agustin Almendra, Tomas Badaloni