Our Leon vs Necaxa Prediction: 2-2
Leon vs Necaxa in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. We expect a 2-2 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Leon vs Necaxa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leon's Last Match – Leon vs Santos Laguna
Leon will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Santos Laguna on February 22. In that match, Leon recorded 47% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 47% | 6 (4) | 1.04 | 24 |
 Santos Laguna | 53% | 10 (4) | 0.6 | 49 |
Necaxa's Last Match – Necaxa vs Toluca
Necaxa must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-3 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Toluca on February 22. In that match, Necaxa had 45% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Necaxa | 45% | 11 (6) | 0.47 | 41 |
 Toluca | 55% | 12 (6) | 2.11 | 41 |
Leon vs Necaxa Stats
Key Stats
| Leon | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.39 | Defence Strength | 1.52 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leon are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Necaxa average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Leon 9-15
Necaxa 18-16
What are the odds for this match?
Leon to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.4
Necaxa to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
Lineups
Leon (4-3-3) : Oscar Garcia, David Ramirez, Stiven Barreiro, Sebastian Vegas, Salvador Reyes, Ivan Moreno, Rodrigo Echeverria, Daniel Arcila, Ismael Diaz, Diber Cambindo, Javier Nicolas Vallejo
Necaxa (3-4-2-1) : Ezequiel Unsain, Raul Alejandro Martinez Ruiz, Alexis Pena, Agustin Oliveros, Ricardo Monreal, Lorenzo Faravelli, Danny Leyva, Cristian Calderon, Israel Tello, Agustin Almendra, Tomas Badaloni
Cruz Azul 
Toluca 
Chivas Guadalajara 
Pachuca 
Unam Pumas 
Tigres UANL 
Atlas 
Club America 
Monterrey 
Puebla 
Atletico San Luis 
Juarez FC 
Leon 
Mazatlan FC 
Tijuana 
Necaxa 
Queretaro 
Santos Laguna