Our Padova vs Avellino Prediction: 1-1
Padova vs Avellino in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 18:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 30, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Padova vs Avellino prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Padova's Last Match – Monza vs Padova
Padova will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Italy Serie B victory over Monza on September 27. In that match, Padova controlled 39% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monza | 61% | 13 (5) | 1.38 | 61 |
 Padova | 39% | 10 (5) | 0.99 | 26 |
Avellino's Last Match – Avellino vs Virtus Entella
Avellino will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-0 Italy Serie B victory over Virtus Entella on September 27. In that match, Avellino saw 43% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Avellino | 43% | 6 (6) | 1.63 | 35 |
 Virtus Entella | 57% | 5 (2) | 0.66 | 52 |
Padova vs Avellino Stats
Key Stats
| Padova | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | Attacking Strength | 1.46 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 1.44 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Padova are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Avellino average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Padova 8-9
Avellino 15-11
What are the odds for this match?
Padova to win: @2.4
Draw: @3
Avellino to win: @3.2
Lineups
Padova (4-4-2) : Mattia Fortin, Carlo Faedo, Filippo Sgarbi, Marco Perrotta, Giulio Favale, Alessandro Capelli, Pietro Fusi, Jonas Harder, Kevin Varas Marcillo, Cristian Buonaiuto, Mattia Bortolussi
Avellino (3-4-1-2) : Antony Iannarilli, Tommaso Cancellotti, Patrick Enrici, Alessandro Milani, Filippo Missori, Justin Kumi, Luca Palmiero, Facundo Lescano, Tommaso Biasci, Roberto Insigne, Alessandro Fontanarosa
Monza 
Modena 
Cesena 
Frosinone 
Venezia 
Palermo 
Juve Stabia 
AC Reggiana 
Avellino 
Carrarese 
Catanzaro 
Padova 
Empoli 
Virtus Entella 
Bari 
Sudtirol 
Mantova 
Spezia 
Pescara 
Sampdoria