Our Padova vs Avellino Prediction: 1-1
Padova vs Avellino in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 18:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 30, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Padova vs Avellino prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Padova's Last Match – Monza vs Padova
Padova will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Italy Serie B victory over Monza on September 27. In that match, Padova controlled 39% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monza | 61% | 13 (5) | 1.38 | 61 |
 Padova | 39% | 10 (5) | 0.99 | 26 |
Avellino's Last Match – Avellino vs Virtus Entella
Avellino will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-0 Italy Serie B victory over Virtus Entella on September 27. In that match, Avellino saw 43% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Avellino | 43% | 6 (6) | 1.63 | 35 |
 Virtus Entella | 57% | 5 (2) | 0.66 | 52 |
Padova vs Avellino Stats
Key Stats
| Padova | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | Attacking Strength | 1.46 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 1.44 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Padova are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Avellino average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Padova 8-9
Avellino 15-11
What are the odds for this match?
Padova to win: @2.4
Draw: @3
Avellino to win: @3.2
Lineups
Padova (4-4-2) : Mattia Fortin, Carlo Faedo, Filippo Sgarbi, Marco Perrotta, Giulio Favale, Alessandro Capelli, Pietro Fusi, Jonas Harder, Kevin Varas Marcillo, Cristian Buonaiuto, Mattia Bortolussi
Avellino (3-4-1-2) : Antony Iannarilli, Tommaso Cancellotti, Patrick Enrici, Alessandro Milani, Filippo Missori, Justin Kumi, Luca Palmiero, Facundo Lescano, Tommaso Biasci, Roberto Insigne, Alessandro Fontanarosa