Our Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction: 2-2
Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay Apertura is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 22, 2026. A 2-2 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Central Espanol vs Penarol
Penarol will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 Uruguay Apertura loss to Central Espanol on February 15. In that match, Penarol recorded 67% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Central Espanol | 33% | 0 (4) | - | 53 |
 Penarol | 67% | 0 (3) | - | 94 |
Deportivo Maldonado's Last Match – Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 Uruguay Apertura victory over Club Atletico Progreso, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Deportivo Maldonado recorded 55% possession and 8 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deportivo Maldonado | 55% | 0 (8) | - | 62 |
 Club Atletico Progreso | 45% | 0 (4) | - | 47 |
Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 1.15 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Deportivo Maldonado average 1.1 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Penarol 10-9
Deportivo Maldonado 11-6
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @1.5
Draw: @3.6
Deportivo Maldonado to win: @6
Over 2.5 Goals: @2
Central Espanol 
Nacional De Football 
Defensor Sporting 
Deportivo Maldonado 
Penarol 
Danubio 
Torque 
Racing Club de Montevideo 
Albion FC 
Liverpool Montevideo 
Montevideo Wanderers 
Cerro Largo 
Juventud De Las Piedras 
Boston River 
Cerro 
Club Atletico Progreso