Our QPR vs Derby Prediction: 2-2
QPR vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 25, 2026. We expect a 2-2 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This QPR vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
QPR's Last Match – QPR vs Bristol City
QPR will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 England Championship draw with Bristol City on April 11. In that match, QPR controlled 45% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 QPR | 45% | 3 (2) | 0.91 | 50 |
 Bristol City | 55% | 5 (6) | 0.87 | 21 |
Derby's Last Match – Southampton vs Derby
Derby will look to get back on track following a 1-2 England Championship loss against Southampton on April 11. In that match, Derby recorded 38% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southampton | 62% | 12 (5) | 1.64 | 84 |
 Derby | 38% | 5 (3) | 0.91 | 31 |
QPR vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| QPR | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.48 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
QPR are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.