Our Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction: 0-1
Queretaro vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 4, 2026. We predict a narrow 0-1 victory for Toluca, as their solid defense and clinical finishing could be enough to edge past Queretaro.
This Queretaro vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Queretaro's Last Match – Atlas vs Queretaro
Queretaro should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw against Atlas on March 21. In that match, Queretaro recorded 36% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlas | 64% | 12 (3) | 0.77 | 42 |
 Queretaro | 36% | 8 (2) | 1 | 48 |
Toluca's Last Match – Pachuca vs Toluca
Determined to get back to winning ways, Toluca must win after their 1-1 Mexico Liga MX draw against Pachuca on March 22. In that match, Toluca controlled 52% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pachuca | 48% | 12 (4) | 0.67 | 54 |
 Toluca | 52% | 6 (2) | 0.55 | 33 |
Queretaro vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Queretaro | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 0.36 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Queretaro are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Queretaro 7-15
Toluca 21-9
What are the odds for this match?
Queretaro to win: @6
Draw: @4.2
Toluca to win: @1.55
Lineups
Queretaro (4-4-2) : Jose Hernandez, Bayron Duarte, Diego Reyes, Lucas Nicolas Abascia, Daniel Alexis Parra, Jhojan Julio, Carlos Adriano, Santiago Homenchenko, Juan Cazares, Mateo Coronel, Ali Avila
Toluca (4-4-2) : Luis Garcia, Diego Zaragoza, Mauricio Isais, Federico Pereira, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Helinho, Franco Romero, Nicolas Federico Castro, Ricardo Angulo, Paulinho, Jorge Diaz