Our Toluca vs Queretaro Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs Queretaro in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 19, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Leon vs Toluca
Toluca will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 4-2 Mexico Liga MX victory over Leon on October 5. In that match, Toluca had 48% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 52% | 9 (4) | 1.83 | 0 |
 Toluca | 48% | 11 (6) | 2.51 | 0 |
Queretaro's Last Match – Queretaro vs Puebla
Queretaro must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 Mexico Liga MX victory over Puebla in their last outing. In that match, Queretaro saw 50% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Queretaro | 50% | 9 (4) | 1.66 | 21 |
 Puebla | 50% | 9 (4) | 0.79 | 40 |
Toluca vs Queretaro Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Queretaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | Attacking Strength | 0.7 |
| 1.02 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.6 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Queretaro average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.