Our Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction: 3-1
Toluca vs Pachuca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 29, 2025. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Puebla vs Toluca
Toluca will hope to extend their good run following a 3-0 Mexico Liga MX win against Puebla on March 15. In that match, Toluca recorded 66% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 34% | 8 (7) | 1.29 | 21 |
 Toluca | 66% | 9 (6) | 2.02 | 44 |
Pachuca's Last Match – El Salvador vs Pachuca
Pachuca will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Club Friendly List draw against El Salvador on March 23.
Toluca vs Pachuca Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | Attacking Strength | 1.29 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.5 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Pachuca average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Toluca 25-12
Pachuca 15-13
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.8
Pachuca to win: @4
Lineups
Toluca (4-3-1-2) : Pau Lopez, Diego Zaragoza, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Juan Dominguez, Franco Romero, Alexis Vega, Marcel Ruiz, Ricardo Angulo, Paulinho
Pachuca (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Moreno, Luis Rodriguez, Eduardo Bauermann, Daniel Aceves, Bryan Gonzalez, Santiago Homenchenko, Elias Montiel, Owen de Jesus Gonzalez Ojeda, John Kennedy, Sergio Hernandez, Salomon Rondon