Pachuca vs Toluca Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction: 1-1

Pachuca vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.

This Pachuca vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Pachuca's Last Match – Pachuca vs Puebla

Pachuca will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX success over Puebla on March 8. In that match, Pachuca saw 40% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 4 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Pachuca	40%	14 (4)	1.36	21
Puebla	60%	10 (5)	0.41	32

Toluca's Last Match – Unam Pumas vs Toluca

Toluca must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-2 Mexico Liga MX victory over Unam Pumas in their last outing. In that match, Toluca controlled 61% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Unam Pumas	39%	8 (7)	2.47	18
Toluca	61%	10 (8)	2.61	74

Pachuca vs Toluca Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Pachuca are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.