Our San Diego FC vs Toluca Prediction: 4-1
San Diego FC vs Toluca in the CONCACAF Champions Cup is scheduled for an 03:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 12, 2026. We’re backing a 4-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This San Diego FC vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
San Diego FC's Last Match – Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego FC
Determined to maintain their recent success, San Diego FC must win following their 1-0 USA MLS victory against Sporting Kansas City on March 8. In that match, San Diego FC saw 68% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting Kansas City | 32% | 4 (3) | 0.36 | 33 |
 San Diego FC | 68% | 12 (7) | 2.02 | 58 |
Toluca's Last Match – Unam Pumas vs Toluca
Toluca will hope to extend their good run following a 3-2 Mexico Liga MX win against Unam Pumas on March 4. In that match, Toluca had 61% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Unam Pumas | 39% | 8 (7) | 2.47 | 18 |
 Toluca | 61% | 10 (8) | 2.61 | 74 |
San Diego FC vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| San Diego FC | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | Attacking Strength | 0.98 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 2.4 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
San Diego FC are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.