Our Atlas vs Toluca Prediction: 1-3
Atlas vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:05 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 13, 2025. Our prediction leans towards a 1-3 away victory, though another solid betting option is over 2.5 goals, considering both teams’ attacking form.
Our prediction is supported by key Atlas vs Toluca stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atlas's Last Match – Atlas vs Juarez FC
Atlas will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX stalemate against Juarez FC on April 5. In that match, Atlas controlled 47% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlas | 47% | 3 (3) | 0.65 | 17 |
 Juarez FC | 53% | 7 (3) | 0.51 | 38 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Determined to maintain their recent success, Toluca must win following their 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory against Santos Laguna on April 7. In that match, Toluca recorded 53% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 53% | 13 (7) | 0.77 | 42 |
 Santos Laguna | 47% | 12 (1) | 0.64 | 41 |
Atlas vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Atlas | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | Attacking Strength | 1.73 |
| 1.56 | Defence Strength | 0.99 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atlas are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Atlas 15-21
Toluca 28-12
What are the odds for this match?
Atlas to win: @4.2
Draw: @3.9
Toluca to win: @1.8
Lineups
Atlas (3-5-2) : Camilo Vargas, Carlos Orrantia, Hugo Nervo, Doria, Gaddi Aguirre, Diego Gonzalez, Angel Marquez, Aldo Rocha, Jose Rivaldo Lozano, Uros Djurdjevic, Eduardo Aguirre
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Luis Garcia, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Isaias Violante, Marcel Ruiz, Hector Herrera, Juan Dominguez, Ricardo Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho