Our Toluca vs Atlas Prediction: 2-0
Toluca vs Atlas in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 15, 2026. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 2-0 for the match between Toluca and Atlas.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – San Diego FC vs Toluca
Toluca will look to get back on track following a 2-3 CONCACAF Champions Cup loss against San Diego FC on March 12. In that match, Toluca recorded 70% possession, attempting 18 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego FC | 30% | 5 (4) | 1.17 | 20 |
 Toluca | 70% | 18 (6) | 3.44 | 46 |
Atlas's Last Match – Atlas vs Chivas Guadalajara
Atlas must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Chivas Guadalajara on March 8 and regain momentum. In that match, Atlas controlled 31% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlas | 31% | 5 (3) | 0.34 | 20 |
 Chivas Guadalajara | 69% | 8 (4) | 2.42 | 54 |
Toluca vs Atlas Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.41 |
| 0.66 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Atlas average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Toluca 18-8
Atlas 13-15
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.363
Draw: @5.25
Atlas to win: @7.5
Lineups
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Luis Garcia, Francisco Cordova, Antonio Briseno, Luan, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Victor Arteaga, Fernando Arce, Sebastian Aceves, Alexis Vega, Pavel Perez, Franco Rossi
Atlas (3-5-2) : Camilo Vargas, Manuel Capasso, Gaddi Aguirre, Jorge Rodriguez, Rodrigo Schlegel, Edgar Zaldivar, Aldo Rocha, Paulo Ramirez, Diego Gonzalez, Augustin Rodriguez, Arturo Gonzalez