Our Toluca vs Atlas Prediction: 2-0
Toluca vs Atlas in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 15, 2026. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 2-0 for the match between Toluca and Atlas.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Unam Pumas vs Toluca
Toluca will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-2 Mexico Liga MX victory over Unam Pumas on March 4. In that match, Toluca recorded 61% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unam Pumas | 39% | 8 (7) | 2.47 | 18 |
Toluca | 61% | 10 (8) | 2.61 | 74 |
Atlas's Last Match – Atlas vs Chivas Guadalajara
Atlas must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Chivas Guadalajara on March 8 and regain momentum. In that match, Atlas controlled 31% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlas | 31% | 5 (3) | 0.34 | 20 |
Chivas Guadalajara | 69% | 8 (4) | 2.42 | 54 |
Toluca vs Atlas Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Attacking Strength | 0.41 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Atlas average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Toluca 16-5
Atlas 13-15
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.25
Draw: @5.5
Atlas to win: @11



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