Our Atlas vs Toluca Prediction: 1-3
Atlas vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 1, 2025. Our forecast points to a 1-3 away win, but considering both sides' recent goal-scoring trends, over 2.5 goals is also a smart choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Atlas vs Toluca stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atlas's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Atlas
Atlas will hope to recover from their recent 1-4 Mexico Liga MX setback against Chivas Guadalajara on October 26. In that match, Atlas controlled 48% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chivas Guadalajara | 52% | 10 (5) | 2.77 | 34 |
 Atlas | 48% | 9 (4) | 0.79 | 26 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Pachuca
Toluca must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Mexico Liga MX draw against Pachuca on October 27. In that match, Toluca recorded 58% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 58% | 13 (4) | 2 | 0 |
 Pachuca | 42% | 13 (6) | 1.4 | 0 |
Atlas vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Atlas | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 1.55 | Defence Strength | 0.6 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 3.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atlas are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Toluca average 3.1 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Atlas 14-19
Toluca 31-11
What are the odds for this match?
Atlas to win: @4.75
Draw: @4.5
Toluca to win: @1.615
Lineups
Atlas (3-4-2-1) : Camilo Vargas, Adrian Mora, Doria, Gaddi Aguirre, Gustavo Ferrareis, Paulo Ramirez, Aldo Rocha, Sergio Ismael Hernandez Flores, Diego Gonzalez, Mateo Garcia, Uros Djurdjevic
Toluca (5-3-2) : Luis Garcia, Santiago Simon, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Nicolas Federico Castro, Ricardo Angulo, Paulinho