Our Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction: 1-1
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Sociedad's Last Match – Barcelona vs Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 Spain La Liga loss to Barcelona on September 28. In that match, Real Sociedad controlled 25% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Barcelona | 75% | 16 (12) | 2.21 | 84 |
 Real Sociedad | 25% | 6 (2) | 0.97 | 21 |
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija Tetovo
Rayo Vallecano will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 UEFA Conference League victory over Shkendija Tetovo, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Rayo Vallecano recorded 68% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rayo Vallecano | 68% | 13 (10) | 1.67 | 81 |
 Shkendija Tetovo | 32% | 1 (1) | 0.01 | 18 |
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Stats
Key Stats
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Sociedad are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Rayo Vallecano average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Real Sociedad 12-13
Rayo Vallecano 14-10
What are the odds for this match?
Real Sociedad to win: @2.05
Draw: @3.6
Rayo Vallecano to win: @3.5
Lineups
Real Sociedad (4-4-2) : Alex Remiro, Jon Aramburu, Igor Zubeldia, Duje Caleta-Car, Sergio Gomez, Jon Gorrotxategi, Goncalo Guedes, Brais Mendez, Carlos Soler, Ander Barrenetxea, Mikel Oyarzabal
Rayo Vallecano (4-3-3) : Augusto Batalla, Andrei Ratiu, Pathe Ciss, Florian Lejeune, Pep Chavarria, Unai Lopez, Oscar Valentin, Jorge De Frutos, Isi Palazon, Alvaro Garcia, Alemao