Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad in the Spain Copa del Rey is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 18, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Spain La Liga defeat against Sevilla on April 11. In that match, Atletico Madrid saw 68% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sevilla | 32% | 7 (2) | 1.78 | 48 |
 Atletico Madrid | 68% | 6 (2) | 0.79 | 44 |
Real Sociedad's Last Match – Real Sociedad vs CD Alaves
Real Sociedad will look to build on their last result following a 3-3 Spain La Liga stalemate against CD Alaves on April 11. In that match, Real Sociedad controlled 54% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Sociedad | 54% | 6 (4) | 0.94 | 41 |
 CD Alaves | 46% | 7 (2) | 1.12 | 39 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Madrid | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.27 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 0.45 | Defence Strength | 0.58 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Real Sociedad average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid 18-17
Real Sociedad 18-17
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Madrid to win: @1.833
Draw: @3.9
Real Sociedad to win: @4
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95