Our Lexington SC vs Sacramento Republic Prediction: 0-1
Lexington SC vs Sacramento Republic in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Friday October 17, 2025. A tightly contested match is expected, but Sacramento Republic’s ability to capitalize on key moments could secure them a 0-1 win over Lexington SC.
This Lexington SC vs Sacramento Republic prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lexington SC's Last Match – Lexington SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC
Lexington SC will look to get back on track following a 1-2 USA USL Championship loss against El Paso Locomotive FC on October 11. In that match, Lexington SC recorded 55% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lexington SC | 55% | 12 (7) | 1.3 | 76 |
 El Paso Locomotive FC | 45% | 6 (4) | 0.88 | 27 |
Sacramento Republic's Last Match – Hartford Athletic vs Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic will aim to put their last result behind them following a 2-3 USA USL Championship loss to Hartford Athletic on October 11. In that match, Sacramento Republic recorded 57% possession, attempting 14 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hartford Athletic | 43% | 6 (5) | 1.36 | 39 |
 Sacramento Republic | 57% | 14 (7) | 2.05 | 46 |
Lexington SC vs Sacramento Republic Stats
Key Stats
| Lexington SC | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.27 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lexington SC are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Sacramento Republic average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.