Our Sacramento Republic vs Lexington SC Prediction: 3-1
Sacramento Republic vs Lexington SC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 04:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday July 20, 2025. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Sacramento Republic vs Lexington SC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sacramento Republic's Last Match – Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive FC
Sacramento Republic must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 USA USL Championship victory over El Paso Locomotive FC in their last outing. In that match, Sacramento Republic recorded 40% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sacramento Republic | 40% | 7 (4) | 1.26 | 49 |
El Paso Locomotive FC | 60% | 6 (3) | 0.99 | 54 |
Lexington SC's Last Match – Miami FC vs Lexington SC
Lexington SC will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 USA USL Championship draw with Miami FC on July 13. In that match, Lexington SC saw 63% of the ball and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami FC | 37% | 0 (5) | 0.8 | 50 |
Lexington SC | 63% | 0 (1) | 0.77 | 77 |
Sacramento Republic vs Lexington SC Stats
Key Stats
| Sacramento Republic | Lexington SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.86 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 1.48 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sacramento Republic are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match, while Lexington SC average 1.9 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.