Our San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising FC Prediction: 2-1
San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising FC in the USA US Open Cup is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday April 16, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
San Jose Earthquakes's Last Match – Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 USA MLS victory over Sporting Kansas City in their last outing. In that match, San Jose Earthquakes recorded 51% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting Kansas City | 49% | 9 (3) | 0.77 | 34 |
 San Jose Earthquakes | 51% | 10 (3) | 1.71 | 38 |
Phoenix Rising FC's Last Match – Phoenix Rising FC vs New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising FC will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-0 USA USL Championship triumph against New Mexico United on April 12. In that match, Phoenix Rising FC saw 45% of the ball and 11 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Phoenix Rising FC | 45% | 0 (11) | 1.92 | 47 |
 New Mexico United | 55% | 0 (1) | 0.46 | 33 |
San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising FC Stats
Key Stats
| San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 0.96 |
| 0.75 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 2.7 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match, while Phoenix Rising FC average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.