Our Santos vs Gremio Prediction: 1-2
Santos vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 2, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
This Santos vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Santos's Last Match – Bragantino vs Santos
Santos will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 Brazil Serie A draw with Bragantino on September 28. In that match, Santos controlled 60% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bragantino | 40% | 6 (2) | 0.73 | 29 |
Santos | 60% | 11 (7) | 1.19 | 51 |
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Vitoria
Gremio will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Brazil Serie A win against Vitoria on September 28. In that match, Gremio recorded 50% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gremio | 50% | 6 (6) | 1.64 | 49 |
Vitoria | 50% | 9 (4) | 1.05 | 51 |
Santos vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Santos | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.18 | Defence Strength | 0.98 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Santos are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Gremio average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Santos 12-17
Gremio 13-10
What are the odds for this match?
Santos to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.4
Gremio to win: @3.8
Lineups
Santos (4-2-3-1) : Gabriel Brazao, Mayke, Alexis Duarte, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Ze Rafael, Joao Schmidt, Benjamin Rollheiser, Alvaro Barreal, Guilherme, Lautaro Diaz
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Gabriel Grando, Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos, Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur Melo, Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha, Edenilson, Cristian Pavon, Andre Henrique



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