Our Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia Prediction: 2-1
Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 26, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Mirassol vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will look to get back on track following a 0-3 Brazil Serie A loss against Mirassol on October 19. In that match, Sao Paulo saw 60% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mirassol | 40% | 12 (8) | 2.96 | 23 |
 Sao Paulo | 60% | 8 (3) | 0.45 | 77 |
EC Bahia's Last Match – EC Bahia vs Internacional
EC Bahia must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Brazil Serie A victory over Internacional in their last outing. In that match, EC Bahia controlled 56% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 EC Bahia | 56% | 11 (7) | 1.94 | 67 |
 Internacional | 44% | 7 (2) | 0.44 | 30 |
Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Attacking Strength | 0.98 |
| 1.08 | Defence Strength | 1.03 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while EC Bahia average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 5-14
EC Bahia 12-12
Lineups
Sao Paulo (3-4-1-2) : Rafael, Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Maik Gomes Viegas, Damian Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Enzo Diaz, Marcos Antonio, Luciano, Lucas Moura
EC Bahia (4-2-3-1) : Ronaldo, Santiago Arias, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Iago, Nicolas Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Ademir, Rodrigo Nestor, Tiago, Willian Jose