Our Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia Prediction: 2-1
Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 26, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Mirassol vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will look to get back on track following a 0-3 Brazil Serie A loss against Mirassol on October 19. In that match, Sao Paulo saw 60% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mirassol | 40% | 12 (8) | 2.96 | 23 |
 Sao Paulo | 60% | 8 (3) | 0.45 | 77 |
EC Bahia's Last Match – EC Bahia vs Internacional
EC Bahia must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Brazil Serie A victory over Internacional in their last outing. In that match, EC Bahia controlled 56% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 EC Bahia | 56% | 11 (7) | 1.94 | 67 |
 Internacional | 44% | 7 (2) | 0.44 | 30 |
Sao Paulo vs EC Bahia Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Attacking Strength | 0.98 |
| 1.08 | Defence Strength | 1.03 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while EC Bahia average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 5-14
EC Bahia 12-12
Lineups
Sao Paulo (3-4-1-2) : Rafael, Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Maik Gomes Viegas, Damian Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Enzo Diaz, Marcos Antonio, Luciano, Lucas Moura
EC Bahia (4-2-3-1) : Ronaldo, Santiago Arias, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Iago, Nicolas Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Ademir, Rodrigo Nestor, Tiago, Willian Jose
Flamengo 
Palmeiras 
Cruzeiro 
Mirassol 
Botafogo 
EC Bahia 
Fluminense 
Sao Paulo 
Bragantino 
Corinthians 
Atletico Mineiro 
Gremio 
Vasco da Gama 
Ceara 
Internacional 
Vitoria 
Santos 
Fortaleza 
EC Juventude 
Sport Recife