Our Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction: 3-1
Birmingham vs Southampton in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Monday December 29, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Birmingham vs Southampton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Birmingham's Last Match – Birmingham vs Derby
Birmingham will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 England Championship share of the spoils with Derby on December 26. In that match, Birmingham recorded 73% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Birmingham | 73% | 12 (9) | 3.15 | 103 |
 Derby | 27% | 2 (1) | 0.78 | 23 |
Southampton's Last Match – Oxford Utd vs Southampton
Southampton will look to get back on track following a 1-2 England Championship loss against Oxford Utd on December 26. In that match, Southampton controlled 71% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oxford Utd | 29% | 14 (7) | 0.8 | 41 |
 Southampton | 71% | 10 (5) | 1.31 | 53 |
Birmingham vs Southampton Stats
Key Stats
| Birmingham | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Attacking Strength | 1.42 |
| 0.75 | Defence Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Birmingham are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Southampton average 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Birmingham 16-15
Southampton 24-14
What are the odds for this match?
Birmingham to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.4
Southampton to win: @2.9
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Birmingham (4-4-2) : James Beadle, Alfons Sampsted, Phil Neumann, Jack Robinson, Eiran Cashin, Tomoki Iwata, Seung Ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Willum Thor Willumsson, Jay Stansfield, Kyogo Furuhashi
Southampton (3-4-2-1) : Gavin Bazunu, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Nathan Wood, Jack Stephens, Tom Fellows, Flynn Downes, Caspar Jander, Ryan Manning, Jay Robinson, Finn Azaz, Adam Armstrong