Our Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction: 1-1
Southampton vs Middlesbrough in the England Championship is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Southampton vs Middlesbrough prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Southampton's Last Match – Liverpool vs Southampton
Southampton must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 England EFL Cup defeat against Liverpool on September 23. In that match, Southampton controlled 39% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 61% | 0 (4) | 1.84 | 71 |
 Southampton | 39% | 0 (3) | 1.86 | 58 |
Middlesbrough's Last Match – Middlesbrough vs West Brom
Middlesbrough will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 England Championship success over West Brom on September 19. In that match, Middlesbrough recorded 41% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Middlesbrough | 41% | 7 (4) | 0.96 | 24 |
 West Brom | 59% | 9 (3) | 0.88 | 71 |
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Stats
Key Stats
| Southampton | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 1.16 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 0.74 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Southampton are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Middlesbrough average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Southampton 14-13
Middlesbrough 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
Southampton to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.4
Middlesbrough to win: @2.9
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
Southampton (4-2-3-1) : Alex McCarthy, Ronnie Edwards, Nathan Wood, Joshua Quarshie, Ryan Manning, Caspar Jander, Shea Charles, Tom Fellows, Finn Azaz, Adam Armstrong, Ross Stewart
Middlesbrough (3-4-2-1) : Sol Brynn, Luke Ayling, George Edmundson, Alfie Jones, Callum Brittain, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Matt Targett, Morgan Whittaker, Tommy Conway, David Strelec
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