Our Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction: 2-2
Middlesbrough vs Southampton in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 4, 2026. Our forecast favors a 2-2 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Middlesbrough vs Southampton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Middlesbrough's Last Match – Derby vs Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 England Championship setback against Derby on January 1. In that match, Middlesbrough had 68% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 32% | 4 (3) | 0.99 | 24 |
 Middlesbrough | 68% | 12 (5) | 1.21 | 56 |
Southampton's Last Match – Southampton vs Millwall
Southampton will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 0-0 England Championship draw with Millwall on January 1. In that match, Southampton recorded 67% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southampton | 67% | 7 (2) | 0.96 | 40 |
 Millwall | 33% | 8 (3) | 1.34 | 39 |
Middlesbrough vs Southampton Stats
Key Stats
| Middlesbrough | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 1.46 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Middlesbrough are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Southampton average 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough 14-13
Southampton 20-13
What are the odds for this match?
Middlesbrough to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.5
Southampton to win: @3.2
Lineups
Middlesbrough (3-4-2-1) : Sol Brynn, Luke Ayling, Adilson Malanda, Matt Targett, Sam Silvera, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Alex Bangura, Morgan Whittaker, Tommy Conway, Delano Burgzorg
Southampton (3-4-2-1) : Gavin Bazunu, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Nathan Wood, Joshua Quarshie, Tom Fellows, Flynn Downes, Caspar Jander, Ryan Manning, Leo Scienza, Finn Azaz, Adam Armstrong