Our Sporting vs Casa Pia Prediction: 4-0
Sporting vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Friday January 16, 2026. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 4-0 for the match between Sporting and Casa Pia.
This Sporting vs Casa Pia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sporting's Last Match – Sporting vs Guimaraes
Sporting must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Portugal League Cup defeat against Guimaraes on January 6 and regain momentum. In that match, Sporting controlled 54% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 54% | 8 (10) | 1.92 | 36 |
 Guimaraes | 46% | 8 (3) | 1.6 | 53 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
Casa Pia will hope to recover from their recent 1-3 Portugal Primeira Liga setback against Rio Ave on January 4. In that match, Casa Pia recorded 49% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rio Ave | 51% | 8 (7) | 2.37 | 41 |
 Casa Pia | 49% | 9 (5) | 1.79 | 35 |
Sporting vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Sporting | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.33 | Defence Strength | 1.35 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.8 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sporting are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Sporting 28-10
Casa Pia 13-17
What are the odds for this match?
Sporting to win: @1.142
Draw: @7.5
Casa Pia to win: @15
Lineups
Sporting (4-2-3-1) : Rui Silva, Ivan Fresneda, Matheus Reis, Goncalo Inacio, Georgios Vagiannidis, Joao Pedro Simoes, Hidemasa Morita, Geny Catamo, Francisco Trincao, Luis Guilherme, Luis Javier Suarez
Casa Pia (5-4-1) : Patrick Sequeira, Gaizka Larrazabal, Joao Goulart, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Sebastian Perez, Renato Nhaga, Kelian Nsona, Cassiano
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Famalicao 
Gil Vicente 
Estoril 
Moreirense 
Guimaraes 
Rio Ave 
Arouca 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Santa Clara 
Nacional 
Casa Pia 
Tondela 
AVS