Our Sporting vs Casa Pia Prediction: 4-0
Sporting vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Friday January 16, 2026. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 4-0 for the match between Sporting and Casa Pia.
This Sporting vs Casa Pia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sporting's Last Match – Sporting vs Guimaraes
Sporting must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Portugal League Cup defeat against Guimaraes on January 6 and regain momentum. In that match, Sporting controlled 54% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 54% | 8 (10) | 1.92 | 36 |
 Guimaraes | 46% | 8 (3) | 1.6 | 53 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
Casa Pia will hope to recover from their recent 1-3 Portugal Primeira Liga setback against Rio Ave on January 4. In that match, Casa Pia recorded 49% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rio Ave | 51% | 8 (7) | 2.37 | 41 |
 Casa Pia | 49% | 9 (5) | 1.79 | 35 |
Sporting vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Sporting | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.33 | Defence Strength | 1.35 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.8 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sporting are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Sporting 28-10
Casa Pia 13-17
What are the odds for this match?
Sporting to win: @1.142
Draw: @7.5
Casa Pia to win: @15
Lineups
Sporting (4-2-3-1) : Rui Silva, Ivan Fresneda, Matheus Reis, Goncalo Inacio, Georgios Vagiannidis, Joao Pedro Simoes, Hidemasa Morita, Geny Catamo, Francisco Trincao, Luis Guilherme, Luis Javier Suarez
Casa Pia (5-4-1) : Patrick Sequeira, Gaizka Larrazabal, Joao Goulart, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Sebastian Perez, Renato Nhaga, Kelian Nsona, Cassiano