Our St Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction: 1-3
St Pauli vs Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. With both teams showing attacking intent, a 1-3 away victory is our primary pick, but over 2.5 goals stands out as another strong betting choice.
This St Pauli vs Bayern Munich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – Union Berlin vs St Pauli
St Pauli will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I share of the spoils with Union Berlin on April 5. In that match, St Pauli had 45% possession and 3 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Union Berlin | 55% | 10 (8) | 1.93 | 79 |
 St Pauli | 45% | 3 (2) | 0.32 | 33 |
Bayern Munich's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 UEFA Champions League victory over Real Madrid in their last outing. In that match, Bayern Munich recorded 52% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 48% | 20 (9) | 1.97 | 47 |
 Bayern Munich | 52% | 16 (8) | 2.99 | 72 |
St Pauli vs Bayern Munich Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.46 | Attacking Strength | 2.08 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 9/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 3.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Bayern Munich average 3.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
St Pauli 8-16
Bayern Munich 33-11
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @8
Draw: @5
Bayern Munich to win: @1.363
Lineups
St Pauli (3-4-2-1) : Nikola Vasilj, Tomoya Ando, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Mathias Rasmussen, Joel Chima Fujita, Lars Ritzka, Danel Sinani, Mathias Pereira Lage, Andreas Hountondji
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1) : Manuel Neuer, Konrad Laimer, Kim Min-jae, Hiroki Ito, Tom Bischof, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Michael Olise, Raphael Guerreiro, Jamal Musiala, Nicolas Jackson