Our St Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction: 1-3
St Pauli vs Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. With both teams showing attacking intent, a 1-3 away victory is our primary pick, but over 2.5 goals stands out as another strong betting choice.
This St Pauli vs Bayern Munich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – Union Berlin vs St Pauli
St Pauli will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I share of the spoils with Union Berlin on April 5. In that match, St Pauli had 45% possession and 3 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Union Berlin | 55% | 10 (8) | 1.93 | 79 |
St Pauli | 45% | 3 (2) | 0.32 | 33 |
Bayern Munich's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 UEFA Champions League victory over Real Madrid in their last outing. In that match, Bayern Munich recorded 52% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Madrid | 48% | 20 (9) | 1.97 | 47 |
Bayern Munich | 52% | 16 (8) | 2.99 | 72 |
St Pauli vs Bayern Munich Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.46 | Attacking Strength | 2.08 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 9/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 3.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Bayern Munich average 3.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
St Pauli 8-16
Bayern Munich 33-11
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @8
Draw: @5
Bayern Munich to win: @1.363



Union Berlin
St Pauli
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
SC Freiburg
Mainz
Augsburg
Union Berlin
Hamburg
Borussia M'gladbach
Werder Bremen
Cologne
St Pauli
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim